Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Terriers @ Raiders BU @ COLG

BOSTON UNIVERSITY

TERRIERSBU

8-12  |  Road

79
FINAL
Sat, Jan 24 • 2:00 PM ET
Cotterell Court
View Odds Details →

COLGATE

RAIDERSCOLG

11-9  |  Home

80
AI Model Win Probability
TERRIERS
100%
📊
RAIDERS
0%
TERRIERS --
RAIDERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
149.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
COLGATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Colgate)
TerriersBU (-3.5) 0 RaidersCOLG (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Terriers Cover

18.4%

Raiders Cover

81.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around COLG -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COLG)

BU By 1-7 points

12.2%

BU By 8-14 points

4.0%

COLG By 1-7 points

24.3%

COLG By 8-14 points

26.8%

AI Model Projected Score
70
BOSTON UNIVERSITY
79
COLGATE
Simulated Score
67
BOSTON UNIVERSITY
78
COLGATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Raiders Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Raiders Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Raiders (-7) Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim Raiders (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o146.5 Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Sim u146.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 16, 2026 COLG @ BU 58 - 85
Jan 24, 2026 BU @ COLG 79 - 80
Feb 15, 2025 COLG @ BU 91 - 93
Jan 11, 2025 BU @ COLG 50 - 87
Feb 7, 2024 COLG @ BU 74 - 64
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +90.5% more
Colgate: 6.4 vs Boston University: 3.4
Blocks (L5) +36.0% more
Boston University: 4.6 vs Colgate: 2.9
Turnovers (L5) +16.3% more
Boston University: 12.8 vs Colgate: 10.8
Free Throw % (L5) +4.4%
Boston University: 74.7% vs Colgate: 70.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BU Score 70.0 79
COLG Score 79.0 80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.6 / 37.2 47.0 / 25.0
Assists 15.1 / 15.2 10.0 / 12.0
Blocks 2.9 / 4.6 4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 48.5 / 48.4 50.0 / 51.0
Free Throw % 70.3 / 74.7 58.0 / 74.0
Rebounding 33.2 / 35.1 35.0 / 26.0
Steals 6.4 / 3.4 9.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 10.8 / 12.8 14.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
1%TICKETS99%
34%MONEY66%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
30%TICKETS70%
41%MONEY59%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
10%MONEY90%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BU
17-17-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 1.5 ATS +/-: +0.2
COLG Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 1.8 ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BU Advantage
18-14-0 (56.3%)
Margin: 1.5 ATS +/-: +0.2
COLG
12-19-0 (38.7%)
Margin: 1.8 ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
BU
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8% Total +/-: +8.4
COLG
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +4.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COLG
BU
COLG
BU
ML
59% 19-13
68% 23-11
69% 22-10
62% 21-13
ATS
72% 23-9
62% 21-13
70% 23-10
62% 21-13
TTL
78% 25-7
65% 22-12
100% 33-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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