Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Tigers @ Aggies TOW @ NCAT

TOWSON

TIGERSTOW

12-9  |  Road

73
FINAL
Sat, Jan 24 • 12:00 PM ET
Corbett Sports Center
View Odds Details →

NORTH CAROLINA A&T

AGGIESNCAT

8-10  |  Home

80
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
0%
📊
AGGIES
100%
TIGERS --
AGGIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
160.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-34.0
TOWSON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +34.0 points (Towson)
TigersTOW (-3.5) 0 AggiesNCAT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Tigers Cover

100.0%

Aggies Cover

0.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around TOW -34.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOW)

TOW By 1-7 points

0.4%

TOW By 8-14 points

2.2%

NCAT By 1-7 points

0.0%

NCAT By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
97
TOWSON
63
NORTH CAROLINA A&T
Simulated Score
72
TOWSON
68
NORTH CAROLINA A&T
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Tigers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Tigers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Tigers (+7.5) Win
Proj Spread: -34.0
D
Sim Tigers (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o139.0 Win
Proj Total: 160.0
D
Sim u139.0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 24, 2026 TOW @ NCAT 73 - 80
Jan 23, 2025 NCAT @ TOW 67 - 83
Feb 29, 2024 TOW @ NCAT 84 - 58
Feb 18, 2023 NCAT @ TOW 75 - 87
Jan 19, 2023 TOW @ NCAT 79 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +60.2% more
Towson: 7.7 vs North Carolina A&T: 3.1
Free Throw % (L5) +3.1%
Towson: 77.1% vs North Carolina A&T: 74.0%
Blocks (L5) +47.7% more
North Carolina A&T: 4.2 vs Towson: 2.9
Assists (L5) +36.3% more
North Carolina A&T: 10.5 vs Towson: 7.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TOW Score 97.0 73
NCAT Score 63.0 80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.7 / 31.3 35.0 / 23.0
Assists 10.5 / 7.7 11.0 / 11.0
Blocks 4.2 / 2.9 3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 43.9 / 38.2 53.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 74.0 / 77.1 70.0 / 69.0
Rebounding 39.6 / 41.2 35.0 / 31.0
Steals 3.1 / 7.7 4.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 11.3 / 9.4 15.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TOW Advantage
19-15-0 (55.9%)
Margin: 3.1 ATS +/-: -0.8
NCAT
11-19-0 (36.7%)
Margin: -2.8 ATS +/-: +1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TOW
14-17-1 (45.2%)
Margin: 3.1 ATS +/-: -0.8
NCAT Advantage
16-12-0 (57.1%)
Margin: -2.8 ATS +/-: +1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
TOW
11-21-0
O: 34.4% / U: 65.6% Total +/-: -5.5
NCAT
16-12-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9% Total +/-: +3.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NCAT
TOW
NCAT
TOW
ML
52% 14-13
66% 21-11
63% 17-10
62% 20-12
ATS
63% 17-10
66% 21-11
64% 18-10
62% 20-12
TTL
69% 18-8-1
53% 17-15
100% 28-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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