Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Golden Grizzlies @ Titans OAK @ DETM

OAKLAND

GOLDEN GRIZZLIESOAK

11-10  |  Road

95
FINAL
Sat, Jan 24 • 3:00 PM ET
Calihan Hall
View Odds Details →

DETROIT MERCY

TITANSDETM

8-11  |  Home

87
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN GRIZZLIES
100%
📊
TITANS
0%
GOLDEN GRIZZLIES --
TITANS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
157.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-25.0
DETROIT MERCY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +25.0 points (Detroit Mercy)
Golden GrizzliesOAK (-3.5) 0 TitansDETM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Golden Grizzlies Cover

0.6%

Titans Cover

99.4%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DETM -25.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DETM)

OAK By 1-7 points

0.5%

OAK By 8-14 points

0.1%

DETM By 1-7 points

3.3%

DETM By 8-14 points

10.7%

AI Model Projected Score
66
OAKLAND
91
DETROIT MERCY
Simulated Score
65
OAKLAND
82
DETROIT MERCY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Titans Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Titans Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Titans (+6.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -25.0
D
Sim Titans (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u168.5 Loss
Proj Total: 157.0
D
Sim u168.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 28, 2026 DETM @ OAK 95 - 89
Jan 24, 2026 OAK @ DETM 95 - 87
Feb 16, 2025 DETM @ OAK 83 - 93
Jan 18, 2025 OAK @ DETM 65 - 59
Mar 2, 2024 DETM @ OAK 70 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +17.6% more
Detroit Mercy: 12.1 vs Oakland: 10.3
Rebounding (L5) +13.7% more
Detroit Mercy: 40.2 vs Oakland: 35.3
Free Throw % (L5) +1.5%
Detroit Mercy: 71.5% vs Oakland: 70.0%
Blocks (L5) +34.7% more
Oakland: 4.2 vs Detroit Mercy: 2.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
OAK Score 66.0 95
DETM Score 91.0 87
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.7 / 37.3 38.0 / 33.0
Assists 11.9 / 16.9 23.0 / 19.0
Blocks 2.7 / 4.2 3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 42.6 / 47.9 50.0 / 54.0
Free Throw % 71.5 / 70.0 100.0 / 85.0
Rebounding 40.2 / 35.3 32.0 / 30.0
Steals 6.1 / 8.1 2.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 12.1 / 10.3 11.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
98%TICKETS2%
86%MONEY14%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
74%TICKETS26%
73%MONEY27%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
55%MONEY45%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OAK
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: -0.1
DETM Advantage
17-15-0 (53.1%)
Margin: -0.1 ATS +/-: +3.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OAK
17-14-0 (54.8%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: -0.1
DETM Advantage
20-9-1 (69.0%)
Margin: -0.1 ATS +/-: +3.7
⚖️ Over/Under
OAK
19-12-0
O: 61.3% / U: 38.7% Total +/-: +4.0
DETM
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DETM
OAK
DETM
OAK
ML
58% 18-13
62% 20-12
50% 15-15
59% 19-13
ATS
61% 19-12
50% 16-16
50% 15-15
59% 19-13
TTL
61% 19-12
62% 20-12
100% 30-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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