PEPPERDINE
WAVESPEPP
6-15 | Road
79
WASHINGTON STATE
COUGARSWSU
8-13 | Home
95
AI Model Win Probability
WAVES
100%
COUGARS
0%
WAVES
--
COUGARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
160.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-26.0
WASHINGTON STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +26.0 points (Washington State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WSU -26.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WSU)
PEPP By 1-7 points
0.4%
PEPP By 8-14 points
0.0%
WSU By 1-7 points
2.7%
WSU By 8-14 points
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Pepperdine
67
PEPPERDINE
Washington State
93
WASHINGTON STATE
Simulated Score
Pepperdine
68
PEPPERDINE
Washington State
75
WASHINGTON STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cougars
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cougars
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cougars (-11.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -26.0
D
Sim
Cougars (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o146.5
Win
Proj Total: 160.0
D
Sim
u146.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 28, 2026
WSU @ PEPP
79 - 88
Jan 24, 2026
PEPP @ WSU
79 - 95
Mar 1, 2025
WSU @ PEPP
90 - 83
Feb 8, 2025
PEPP @ WSU
86 - 87
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+26.4% more
Washington State: 14.1
vs
Pepperdine: 11.2
Blocks (L5)
+22.1% more
Washington State: 2.6
vs
Pepperdine: 2.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+17.6%
Washington State: 39.1%
vs
Pepperdine: 21.5%
Field Goal % (L5)
+9.8%
Washington State: 49.2%
vs
Pepperdine: 39.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PEPP Score
67.0
79
WSU Score
93.0
95
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.1 / 21.5
43.0 / 35.0
Assists
14.1 / 11.2
20.0 / 11.0
Blocks
2.6 / 2.1
2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
49.2 / 39.4
53.0 / 54.0
Free Throw %
72.1 / 77.7
73.0 / 87.0
Rebounding
31.3 / 32.4
33.0 / 25.0
Steals
5.1 / 6.8
9.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
12.0 / 13.1
12.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PEPP
9-23-0
(28.1%)
Margin: -7.3
ATS +/-: -0.6
WSU
Advantage
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PEPP
14-16-0
(46.7%)
Margin: -7.3
ATS +/-: -0.6
WSU
Advantage
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
PEPP
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +2.4
WSU
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSU
PEPP
WSU
PEPP
ML
78%
25-7
62%
20-12
69%
20-9
69%
22-10
ATS
78%
25-7
56%
18-14
69%
20-9
69%
22-10
TTL
62%
20-12
50%
16-16
100%
29-0
100%
32-0
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