ELON
PHOENIXELON
12-8 | Road
70
CHARLESTON
COUGARSCOFC
12-8 | Home
80
AI Model Win Probability
PHOENIX
100%
COUGARS
0%
PHOENIX
--
COUGARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
161.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-27.0
CHARLESTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +27.0 points (Charleston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around COFC -27.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COFC)
ELON By 1-7 points
0.3%
ELON By 8-14 points
0.0%
COFC By 1-7 points
2.2%
COFC By 8-14 points
8.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Elon
67
ELON
Charleston
94
CHARLESTON
Simulated Score
Elon
65
ELON
Charleston
78
CHARLESTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cougars
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cougars
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cougars (-3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Sim
Cougars (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o159.5
Loss
Proj Total: 161.0
D
Sim
u159.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 24, 2026
ELON @ COFC
70 - 80
Dec 31, 2025
COFC @ ELON
85 - 81
Feb 8, 2025
ELON @ COFC
83 - 88
Jan 25, 2025
COFC @ ELON
76 - 62
Jan 11, 2024
ELON @ COFC
62 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+18.6% more
Charleston: 3.8
vs
Elon: 3.2
Rebounding (L5)
+17.5% more
Charleston: 38.3
vs
Elon: 32.6
Steals (L5)
+12.8% more
Charleston: 5.9
vs
Elon: 5.3
Turnovers (L5)
+10.2% more
Charleston: 12.7
vs
Elon: 11.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ELON Score
67.0
70
COFC Score
94.0
80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.8 / 38.7
29.0 / 18.0
Assists
13.8 / 16.8
18.0 / 10.0
Blocks
3.8 / 3.2
2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
48.1 / 46.5
53.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
76.9 / 67.4
62.0 / 72.0
Rebounding
38.3 / 32.6
40.0 / 31.0
Steals
5.9 / 5.3
7.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
12.7 / 11.5
16.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ELON
14-18-0
(43.8%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-: -1.1
COFC
Advantage
21-11-0
(65.6%)
Margin: 2.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ELON
11-19-0
(36.7%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-: -1.1
COFC
Advantage
19-12-0
(61.3%)
Margin: 2.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
ELON
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +1.9
COFC
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: -1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COFC
ELON
COFC
ELON
ML
66%
19-10
61%
19-12
62%
18-11
71%
22-9
ATS
59%
17-12
55%
17-14
62%
18-11
71%
22-9
TTL
68%
19-9-1
52%
16-15
100%
29-0
100%
31-0
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