SANTA CLARA
BRONCOSSCU
16-5 | Road
85
SAN DIEGO
TOREROSUSD
9-12 | Home
73
AI Model Win Probability
BRONCOS
100%
TOREROS
0%
BRONCOS
--
TOREROS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
163.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
SAN DIEGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (San Diego)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around USD -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (USD)
SCU By 1-7 points
3.3%
SCU By 8-14 points
0.6%
USD By 1-7 points
12.2%
USD By 8-14 points
23.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Santa Clara
73
SANTA CLARA
San Diego
90
SAN DIEGO
Simulated Score
Santa Clara
75
SANTA CLARA
San Diego
68
SAN DIEGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Toreros
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Broncos
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Toreros (+13.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim
Broncos (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o162.5
Loss
Proj Total: 163.0
D
Sim
u162.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 24, 2026
SCU @ USD
85 - 73
Jan 4, 2026
USD @ SCU
70 - 98
Feb 8, 2025
USD @ SCU
70 - 93
Jan 2, 2025
SCU @ USD
81 - 80
Mar 9, 2024
USD @ SCU
79 - 104
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+67.4% more
San Diego: 21.5
vs
Santa Clara: 12.8
Turnovers (L5)
+20.1% more
San Diego: 12.0
vs
Santa Clara: 10.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+13.3%
San Diego: 43.7%
vs
Santa Clara: 30.5%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.7%
San Diego: 49.2%
vs
Santa Clara: 45.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SCU Score
73.0
85
USD Score
90.0
73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
43.7 / 30.5
13.0 / 40.0
Assists
21.5 / 12.8
11.0 / 21.0
Blocks
3.4 / 3.6
1.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
49.2 / 45.5
39.0 / 63.0
Free Throw %
72.1 / 80.9
74.0 / 53.0
Rebounding
37.0 / 34.4
36.0 / 38.0
Steals
7.5 / 8.6
12.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
12.0 / 10.0
12.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SCU
Advantage
26-9-0
(74.3%)
Margin: 10.0
ATS +/-: +2.6
USD
12-21-0
(36.4%)
Margin: -3.4
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SCU
17-16-1
(51.5%)
Margin: 10.0
ATS +/-: +2.6
USD
Advantage
16-15-0
(51.6%)
Margin: -3.4
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
SCU
20-13-1
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4%
Total +/-: +4.0
USD
12-17-2
O: 41.4% / U: 58.6%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
USD
SCU
USD
SCU
ML
58%
19-14
44%
15-19
70%
23-10
73%
22-8
ATS
55%
18-15
53%
18-16
70%
23-10
74%
23-8
TTL
61%
20-13
47%
16-18
100%
33-0
100%
31-0
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