AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
100%
BRAVES
0%
FLAMES
--
BRAVES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
189.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
BRADLEY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Bradley)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BRAD -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BRAD)
UIC By 1-7 points
24.3%
UIC By 8-14 points
13.7%
BRAD By 1-7 points
26.2%
BRAD By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
UIC
94
UIC
Bradley
95
BRADLEY
Simulated Score
UIC
68
UIC
Bradley
75
BRADLEY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Braves
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Braves
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Braves (+7.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Braves (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o144.5
Win
Proj Total: 189.0
D
Sim
u144.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 24, 2026
BRAD @ UIC
86 - 93
Jan 24, 2026
UIC @ BRAD
85 - 70
Jan 29, 2025
UIC @ BRAD
93 - 70
Jan 11, 2025
BRAD @ UIC
61 - 60
Mar 8, 2024
UIC @ BRAD
47 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+11.4%
Bradley: 76.6%
vs
UIC: 65.2%
Blocks (L5)
+38.1% more
UIC: 3.5
vs
Bradley: 2.2
Turnovers (L5)
+30.8% more
UIC: 9.8
vs
Bradley: 6.8
Assists (L5)
+30.1% more
UIC: 15.4
vs
Bradley: 10.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UIC Score
94.0
85
BRAD Score
95.0
70
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.2 / 28.8
27.0 / 50.0
Assists
10.8 / 15.4
14.0 / 18.0
Blocks
2.2 / 3.5
1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
39.7 / 46.0
46.0 / 50.0
Free Throw %
76.6 / 65.2
73.0 / 81.0
Rebounding
35.5 / 37.1
28.0 / 37.0
Steals
8.4 / 8.9
3.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
6.8 / 9.8
9.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UIC
--
BRAD
Advantage
21-13-0
(61.8%)
Margin: 3.6
ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UIC
--
BRAD
Advantage
13-20-0
(39.4%)
Margin: 3.6
ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
UIC
--
BRAD
20-13-0
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4%
Total +/-: +5.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BRAD
UIC
BRAD
UIC
ML
65%
22-12
57%
20-15
68%
23-11
44%
15-19
ATS
59%
20-14
54%
19-16
68%
23-11
44%
15-19
TTL
68%
23-11
60%
21-14
100%
34-0
100%
34-0