CENTRAL MICHIGAN
CHIPPEWASCMU
5-14 | Road
65
WESTERN MICHIGAN
BRONCOSWMU
7-12 | Home
77
AI Model Win Probability
CHIPPEWAS
100%
BRONCOS
0%
CHIPPEWAS
--
BRONCOS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
159.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-37.0
WESTERN MICHIGAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +37.0 points (Western Michigan)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WMU -37.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WMU)
CMU By 1-7 points
0.0%
CMU By 8-14 points
0.0%
WMU By 1-7 points
0.1%
WMU By 8-14 points
1.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Central Michigan
61
CENTRAL MICHIGAN
Western Michigan
98
WESTERN MICHIGAN
Simulated Score
Central Michigan
71
CENTRAL MICHIGAN
Western Michigan
78
WESTERN MICHIGAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Broncos
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Broncos
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Broncos (-4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -37.0
D
Sim
Broncos (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o148.5
Loss
Proj Total: 159.0
D
Sim
u148.5
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 21, 2026
WMU @ CMU
70 - 83
Jan 24, 2026
CMU @ WMU
65 - 77
Feb 22, 2025
CMU @ WMU
86 - 57
Jan 25, 2025
WMU @ CMU
52 - 73
Feb 17, 2024
WMU @ CMU
42 - 69
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+16.3% more
Western Michigan: 35.7
vs
Central Michigan: 30.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.7%
Western Michigan: 72.7%
vs
Central Michigan: 64.0%
Steals (L5)
+27.1% more
Central Michigan: 6.0
vs
Western Michigan: 4.4
Blocks (L5)
+12.3% more
Central Michigan: 3.9
vs
Western Michigan: 3.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CMU Score
61.0
65
WMU Score
98.0
77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.9 / 39.0
32.0 / 17.0
Assists
13.2 / 12.8
7.0 / 12.0
Blocks
3.4 / 3.9
1.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
44.6 / 45.2
44.0 / 36.0
Free Throw %
72.7 / 64.0
70.0 / 73.0
Rebounding
35.7 / 30.7
39.0 / 35.0
Steals
4.4 / 6.0
6.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
12.9 / 12.2
7.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CMU
10-21-0
(32.3%)
Margin: -3.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
WMU
10-21-0
(32.3%)
Margin: -4.7
ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CMU
15-13-1
(53.6%)
Margin: -3.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
WMU
Advantage
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: -4.7
ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
CMU
13-16-0
O: 44.8% / U: 55.2%
Total +/-: +0.4
WMU
18-11-0
O: 62.1% / U: 37.9%
Total +/-: +1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WMU
CMU
WMU
CMU
ML
60%
18-12
57%
17-13
70%
21-9
70%
21-9
ATS
67%
20-10
67%
20-10
70%
21-9
70%
21-9
TTL
57%
17-13
67%
20-10
100%
30-0
100%
30-0
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