Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Panthers @ Penguins MILW @ YSU

MILWAUKEE

PANTHERSMILW

8-13  |  Road

65
FINAL
Sat, Jan 24 • 1:00 PM ET
Beeghly Center
View Odds Details →

YOUNGSTOWN STATE

PENGUINSYSU

10-11  |  Home

64
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
0%
📊
PENGUINS
100%
PANTHERS --
PENGUINS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
140.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-26.0
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +26.0 points (Milwaukee)
PanthersMILW (-3.5) 0 PenguinsYSU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Panthers Cover

99.5%

Penguins Cover

0.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MILW -26.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MILW)

MILW By 1-7 points

2.7%

MILW By 8-14 points

9.3%

YSU By 1-7 points

0.4%

YSU By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
83
MILWAUKEE
57
YOUNGSTOWN STATE
Simulated Score
75
MILWAUKEE
78
YOUNGSTOWN STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Panthers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Penguins Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Panthers (-6.5) Win
Proj Spread: -26.0
D
Sim Penguins (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u151.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Sim u151.5 Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 25, 2026 YSU @ MILW 65 - 78
Jan 24, 2026 MILW @ YSU 65 - 64
Feb 21, 2025 MILW @ YSU 84 - 74
Jan 17, 2025 YSU @ MILW 64 - 79
Feb 23, 2024 YSU @ MILW 84 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +8.1% more
Milwaukee: 4.2 vs Youngstown State: 3.8
Assists (L5) +35.5% more
Youngstown State: 14.8 vs Milwaukee: 10.9
Free Throw % (L5) +12.1%
Youngstown State: 79.6% vs Milwaukee: 67.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MILW Score 83.0 65
YSU Score 57.0 64
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.5 / 34.3 28.0 / 30.0
Assists 14.8 / 10.9 9.0 / 10.0
Blocks 3.8 / 4.2 5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 44.7 / 45.1 40.0 / 41.0
Free Throw % 79.6 / 67.5 75.0 / 69.0
Rebounding 32.8 / 32.5 37.0 / 32.0
Steals 6.7 / 7.2 6.0 / 13.0
Turnovers 10.5 / 11.2 16.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
21%MONEY79%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
77%MONEY23%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
74%TICKETS26%
43%MONEY57%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MILW
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -3.4 ATS +/-: -3.0
YSU Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MILW Advantage
12-19-0 (38.7%)
Margin: -3.4 ATS +/-: -3.0
YSU
10-18-1 (35.7%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
MILW
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: -1.0
YSU
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3% Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
YSU
MILW
YSU
MILW
ML
57% 17-13
50% 16-16
67% 20-10
69% 22-10
ATS
47% 14-16
47% 15-17
67% 20-10
69% 22-10
TTL
60% 18-12
59% 19-13
100% 30-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Vin Baker Joins Heat Staff, Cites 'Special Bond' with Giannis: '…
miamiherald 2 weeks ago
Sewickley Herald notebook: Panthers basketball standout embarkin…
triblive 2 months, 1 week ago
Panthers’ Wood weighs choices, picks KCU volleyball
irontontribune 2 months, 2 weeks ago
Mar 23, 2025; Milwaukee, WI, USA; Illinois Fighting Illini head …
si 2 months, 3 weeks ago
3 burning questions after Bucks sign Dieng to multi-year deal
lacrossetribune 3 months ago