Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Owls @ Roadrunners TEM @ UTSA

TEMPLE

OWLSTEM

12-7  |  Road

70
FINAL
Sat, Jan 24 • 1:00 PM ET
UTSA Convocation Center
View Odds Details →

UTSA

ROADRUNNERSUTSA

4-15  |  Home

64
AI Model Win Probability
OWLS
0%
📊
ROADRUNNERS
100%
OWLS --
ROADRUNNERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
TEMPLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Temple)
OwlsTEM (-3.5) 0 RoadrunnersUTSA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Owls Cover

91.9%

Roadrunners Cover

8.1%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around TEM -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TEM)

TEM By 1-7 points

16.9%

TEM By 8-14 points

26.2%

UTSA By 1-7 points

5.8%

UTSA By 8-14 points

1.4%

AI Model Projected Score
78
TEMPLE
64
UTSA
Simulated Score
68
TEMPLE
77
UTSA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Owls Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Roadrunners Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Owls (+10.5) Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim Roadrunners (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u145.5 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim u145.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 24, 2026 TEM @ UTSA 70 - 64
Jan 3, 2026 UTSA @ TEM 57 - 76
Jan 25, 2025 TEM @ UTSA 79 - 88
Mar 13, 2024 UTSA @ TEM 61 - 64
Mar 10, 2024 TEM @ UTSA 84 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +15.9% more
Temple: 36.2 vs UTSA: 30.4
Free Throw % (L5) +3.3%
Temple: 78.1% vs UTSA: 74.8%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +2.6%
Temple: 29.8% vs UTSA: 27.1%
Field Goal % (L5) +2.4%
Temple: 40.6% vs UTSA: 38.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TEM Score 78.0 70
UTSA Score 64.0 64
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 27.1 / 29.8 13.0 / 33.0
Assists 9.8 / 9.5 6.0 / 11.0
Blocks 6.4 / 5.8 5.0 / 7.0
Field Goal % 38.2 / 40.6 44.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 74.8 / 78.1 75.0 / 77.0
Rebounding 30.4 / 36.2 37.0 / 34.0
Steals 6.1 / 5.5 6.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 14.2 / 10.2 11.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
98%TICKETS2%
86%MONEY14%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
75%TICKETS25%
79%MONEY21%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
89%MONEY11%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEM Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.2 ATS +/-: +0.1
UTSA
5-25-0 (16.7%)
Margin: -11.3 ATS +/-: -3.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEM Advantage
14-17-0 (45.2%)
Margin: 3.2 ATS +/-: +0.1
UTSA
10-18-0 (35.7%)
Margin: -11.3 ATS +/-: -3.9
⚖️ Over/Under
TEM
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: -1.1
UTSA
14-14-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTSA
TEM
UTSA
TEM
ML
83% 24-5
62% 20-12
48% 14-15
67% 20-10
ATS
72% 21-8
56% 18-14
50% 15-15
67% 20-10
TTL
66% 19-10
69% 22-10
100% 30-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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