BROWN
BEARSBRWN
7-10 | Road
53
PRINCETON
TIGERSPRIN
6-13 | Home
63
AI Model Win Probability
BEARS
0%
TIGERS
100%
BEARS
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
145.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
BROWN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (Brown)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BRWN -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BRWN)
BRWN By 1-7 points
6.8%
BRWN By 8-14 points
16.9%
PRIN By 1-7 points
1.4%
PRIN By 8-14 points
0.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Brown
83
BROWN
Princeton
62
PRINCETON
Simulated Score
Brown
65
BROWN
Princeton
72
PRINCETON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bears
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bears (-4.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim
Tigers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o133.5
Loss
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Sim
u133.5
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 20, 2026
PRIN @ BRWN
71 - 80
Jan 24, 2026
BRWN @ PRIN
53 - 63
Feb 14, 2025
PRIN @ BRWN
56 - 70
Feb 1, 2025
BRWN @ PRIN
49 - 69
Mar 16, 2024
BRWN @ PRIN
90 - 81
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+41.7% more
Brown: 7.6
vs
Princeton: 4.5
Turnovers (L5)
+38.3% more
Brown: 11.8
vs
Princeton: 7.3
Assists (L5)
+21.5% more
Brown: 16.1
vs
Princeton: 12.6
Blocks (L5)
+12.1% more
Brown: 3.2
vs
Princeton: 2.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BRWN Score
83.0
53
PRIN Score
62.0
63
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.3 / 27.8
30.0 / 20.0
Assists
12.6 / 16.1
10.0 / 11.0
Blocks
2.8 / 3.2
4.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
43.4 / 46.0
30.0 / 33.0
Free Throw %
85.6 / 80.2
100.0 / 69.0
Rebounding
32.7 / 33.9
39.0 / 40.0
Steals
4.5 / 7.6
7.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
7.3 / 11.8
7.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BRWN
Advantage
9-18-0
(33.3%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-: +1.6
PRIN
9-20-0
(31.0%)
Margin: -3.4
ATS +/-: -0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BRWN
14-12-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-: +1.6
PRIN
Advantage
16-12-0
(57.1%)
Margin: -3.4
ATS +/-: -0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
BRWN
12-13-0
O: 48.0% / U: 52.0%
Total +/-: +0.3
PRIN
13-15-0
O: 46.4% / U: 53.6%
Total +/-: -2.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PRIN
BRWN
PRIN
BRWN
ML
45%
13-16
56%
15-12
62%
18-11
67%
18-9
ATS
48%
14-15
59%
16-11
62%
18-11
67%
18-9
TTL
72%
21-8
59%
16-11
100%
29-0
100%
27-0
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