DELAWARE
BLUE HENSDEL
5-13 | Road
51
LIBERTY
FLAMESLIB
16-3 | Home
67
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE HENS
0%
FLAMES
100%
BLUE HENS
--
FLAMES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
136.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
DELAWARE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (Delaware)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around DEL -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DEL)
DEL By 1-7 points
13.7%
DEL By 8-14 points
24.3%
LIB By 1-7 points
4.0%
LIB By 8-14 points
0.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Delaware
76
DELAWARE
Liberty
60
LIBERTY
Simulated Score
Delaware
70
DELAWARE
Liberty
75
LIBERTY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Blue Hens
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Flames
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Blue Hens (-14.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim
Flames (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o134.5
Loss
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Sim
u134.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 4, 2026
LIB @ DEL
75 - 69
Jan 24, 2026
DEL @ LIB
51 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+10.0% more
Delaware: 30.7
vs
Liberty: 27.6
Steals (L5)
+162.5% more
Liberty: 7.3
vs
Delaware: 2.8
Blocks (L5)
+40.7% more
Liberty: 3.3
vs
Delaware: 2.3
Assists (L5)
+19.7% more
Liberty: 15.5
vs
Delaware: 12.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DEL Score
76.0
51
LIB Score
60.0
67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
45.2 / 39.0
37.0 / 38.0
Assists
15.5 / 12.9
21.0 / 6.0
Blocks
3.3 / 2.3
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
51.8 / 43.3
47.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
75.8 / 71.3
62.0 / 54.0
Rebounding
27.6 / 30.7
28.0 / 27.0
Steals
7.3 / 2.8
10.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
8.7 / 8.7
6.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DEL
10-21-0
(32.3%)
Margin: -6.3
ATS +/-: -0.5
LIB
Advantage
26-8-0
(76.5%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DEL
Advantage
15-14-1
(51.7%)
Margin: -6.3
ATS +/-: -0.5
LIB
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
DEL
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +2.0
LIB
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9%
Total +/-: +4.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LIB
DEL
LIB
DEL
ML
50%
17-17
45%
14-17
53%
18-16
52%
16-15
ATS
62%
21-13
61%
19-12
53%
18-16
52%
16-15
TTL
41%
14-20
65%
20-11
100%
34-0
100%
31-0
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