CORNELL
BIG REDCOR
8-9 | Road
86
HARVARD
CRIMSONHARV
10-8 | Home
79
AI Model Win Probability
BIG RED
100%
CRIMSON
0%
BIG RED
--
CRIMSON
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
HARVARD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Harvard)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HARV -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HARV)
COR By 1-7 points
4.8%
COR By 8-14 points
1.1%
HARV By 1-7 points
15.3%
HARV By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Cornell
66
CORNELL
Harvard
81
HARVARD
Simulated Score
Cornell
68
CORNELL
Harvard
72
HARVARD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Crimson
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Crimson
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Crimson (-1)
Loss
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim
Crimson (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u163.0
Loss
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim
u163.0
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 21, 2026
HARV @ COR
73 - 54
Jan 24, 2026
COR @ HARV
86 - 79
Feb 14, 2025
COR @ HARV
73 - 75
Feb 1, 2025
HARV @ COR
60 - 75
Feb 16, 2024
HARV @ COR
62 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+53.6% more
Harvard: 7.1
vs
Cornell: 4.6
Blocks (L5)
+23.5% more
Harvard: 3.9
vs
Cornell: 3.2
Assists (L5)
+28.8% more
Cornell: 19.4
vs
Harvard: 13.8
Turnovers (L5)
+9.4% more
Cornell: 10.5
vs
Harvard: 9.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COR Score
66.0
86
HARV Score
81.0
79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.1 / 36.0
43.0 / 46.0
Assists
13.8 / 19.4
19.0 / 18.0
Blocks
3.9 / 3.2
4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
47.4 / 46.1
47.0 / 53.0
Free Throw %
73.0 / 75.8
83.0 / 81.0
Rebounding
32.3 / 34.4
27.0 / 30.0
Steals
7.1 / 4.6
8.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
9.5 / 10.5
9.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COR
15-13-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +0.6
HARV
Advantage
17-12-0
(58.6%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: +2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COR
11-15-0
(42.3%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +0.6
HARV
Advantage
12-13-1
(48.0%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: +2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
COR
14-12-0
O: 53.8% / U: 46.2%
Total +/-: +6.5
HARV
9-17-0
O: 34.6% / U: 65.4%
Total +/-: -4.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HARV
COR
HARV
COR
ML
45%
13-16
44%
12-15
52%
15-14
63%
17-10
ATS
45%
13-16
59%
16-11
52%
15-14
63%
17-10
TTL
41%
12-17
78%
21-6
100%
29-0
100%
27-0
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