Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Wolverines @ Lancers UVU @ CBU

UTAH VALLEY

WOLVERINESUVU

15-5  |  Road

71
FINAL
Sat, Jan 24 • 8:00 PM ET
Dale E. and Sarah Ann Fowler Events Center
View Odds Details →

CALIFORNIA BAPTIST

LANCERSCBU

14-6  |  Home

78
AI Model Win Probability
WOLVERINES
0%
📊
LANCERS
100%
WOLVERINES --
LANCERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
136.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
UTAH VALLEY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Utah Valley)
WolverinesUVU (-3.5) 0 LancersCBU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wolverines Cover

88.5%

Lancers Cover

11.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UVU -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UVU)

UVU By 1-7 points

20.1%

UVU By 8-14 points

27.2%

CBU By 1-7 points

8.0%

CBU By 8-14 points

2.2%

AI Model Projected Score
74
UTAH VALLEY
62
CALIFORNIA BAPTIST
Simulated Score
71
UTAH VALLEY
78
CALIFORNIA BAPTIST
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Wolverines Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Lancers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Wolverines (-1.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim Lancers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u148.5 Loss
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Sim u148.5 Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 14, 2026 CBU @ UVU 63 - 61
Feb 19, 2026 CBU @ UVU 46 - 65
Jan 24, 2026 UVU @ CBU 71 - 78
Dec 29, 2025 CBU @ UVU 66 - 73
Jan 23, 2025 UVU @ CBU 74 - 69
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +48.6% more
Utah Valley: 8.7 vs California Baptist: 4.5
Assists (L5) +45.3% more
Utah Valley: 17.9 vs California Baptist: 9.8
Turnovers (L5) +23.3% more
Utah Valley: 12.6 vs California Baptist: 9.7
Field Goal % (L5) +3.2%
Utah Valley: 47.4% vs California Baptist: 44.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UVU Score 74.0 71
CBU Score 62.0 78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.9 / 30.9 43.0 / 10.0
Assists 9.8 / 17.9 4.0 / 10.0
Blocks 3.9 / 4.3 7.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 44.1 / 47.4 48.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 69.0 / 67.1 71.0 / 72.0
Rebounding 40.7 / 35.4 39.0 / 35.0
Steals 4.5 / 8.7 6.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 9.7 / 12.6 17.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
14%MONEY86%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
47%TICKETS53%
66%MONEY34%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
32%TICKETS68%
72%MONEY28%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UVU
25-9-0 (73.5%)
Margin: 11.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
CBU
25-9-0 (73.5%)
Margin: 5.1 ATS +/-: +1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UVU
13-18-0 (41.9%)
Margin: 11.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
CBU Advantage
20-14-0 (58.8%)
Margin: 5.1 ATS +/-: +1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
UVU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +1.8
CBU
12-22-0
O: 35.3% / U: 64.7% Total +/-: -4.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CBU
UVU
CBU
UVU
ML
50% 17-17
56% 18-14
76% 25-8
72% 23-9
ATS
53% 18-16
53% 17-15
76% 25-8
74% 25-9
TTL
47% 16-18
44% 14-18
100% 33-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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