KANSAS
JAYHAWKSKU
14-5 | Road
86
KANSAS STATE
WILDCATSKSU
10-9 | Home
62
AI Model Win Probability
JAYHAWKS
0%
WILDCATS
100%
JAYHAWKS
--
WILDCATS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
149.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-43.0
KANSAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +43.0 points (Kansas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around KU -43.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (KU)
KU By 1-7 points
0.0%
KU By 8-14 points
0.2%
KSU By 1-7 points
0.0%
KSU By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Kansas
96
KANSAS
Kansas State
53
KANSAS STATE
Simulated Score
Kansas
69
KANSAS
Kansas State
79
KANSAS STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Jayhawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wildcats
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Jayhawks (+4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -43.0
D
Sim
Wildcats (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u158.5
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Sim
u158.5
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
KSU @ KU
85 - 104
Jan 24, 2026
KU @ KSU
86 - 62
Feb 8, 2025
KU @ KSU
73 - 81
Jan 18, 2025
KSU @ KU
74 - 84
Mar 5, 2024
KSU @ KU
68 - 90
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+52.5% more
Kansas: 6.3
vs
Kansas State: 3.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+17.3%
Kansas: 80.8%
vs
Kansas State: 63.5%
Rebounding (L5)
+14.3% more
Kansas: 39.8
vs
Kansas State: 34.1
Steals (L5)
+11.6% more
Kansas: 6.0
vs
Kansas State: 5.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
KU Score
96.0
86
KSU Score
53.0
62
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.9 / 38.6
34.0 / 25.0
Assists
19.1 / 14.6
12.0 / 19.0
Blocks
3.0 / 6.3
1.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
46.9 / 48.1
34.0 / 53.0
Free Throw %
63.5 / 80.8
71.0 / 83.0
Rebounding
34.1 / 39.8
28.0 / 39.0
Steals
5.3 / 6.0
5.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
12.2 / 9.2
8.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KU
Advantage
24-11-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 6.1
ATS +/-: +1.3
KSU
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -2.3
ATS +/-: -2.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KU
Advantage
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 6.1
ATS +/-: +1.3
KSU
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -2.3
ATS +/-: -2.9
⚖️ Over/Under
KU
11-24-0
O: 31.4% / U: 68.6%
Total +/-: -4.1
KSU
17-15-0
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9%
Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KSU
KU
KSU
KU
ML
59%
19-13
57%
20-15
69%
22-10
68%
21-10
ATS
62%
20-12
49%
17-18
69%
22-10
68%
21-10
TTL
47%
15-17
60%
21-14
100%
32-0
100%
31-0
Contextual Game News
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