Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Wildcats @ Bruins NU @ UCLA

NORTHWESTERN

WILDCATSNU

9-10  |  Road

64
FINAL
Sat, Jan 24 • 6:00 PM ET
Pauley Pavilion
View Odds Details →

UCLA

BRUINSUCLA

13-6  |  Home

71
AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
100%
📊
BRUINS
0%
WILDCATS --
BRUINS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
163.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
UCLA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (UCLA)
WildcatsNU (-3.5) 0 BruinsUCLA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wildcats Cover

4.5%

Bruins Cover

95.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UCLA -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UCLA)

NU By 1-7 points

3.3%

NU By 8-14 points

0.6%

UCLA By 1-7 points

12.2%

UCLA By 8-14 points

23.0%

AI Model Projected Score
73
NORTHWESTERN
90
UCLA
Simulated Score
65
NORTHWESTERN
72
UCLA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bruins Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bruins Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bruins (-7.5) Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim Bruins (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o143.5 Loss
Proj Total: 163.0
D
Sim u143.5 Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 24, 2026 NU @ UCLA 64 - 71
Mar 3, 2025 UCLA @ NU 73 - 69
Mar 18, 2023 NU @ UCLA 63 - 68
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +52.5% more
UCLA: 4.8 vs Northwestern: 3.1
Steals (L5) +33.8% more
UCLA: 5.1 vs Northwestern: 3.8
Turnovers (L5) +24.1% more
UCLA: 9.1 vs Northwestern: 7.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +8.8%
UCLA: 37.1% vs Northwestern: 28.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NU Score 73.0 64
UCLA Score 90.0 71
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.1 / 28.4 44.0 / 30.0
Assists 16.5 / 17.8 11.0 / 13.0
Blocks 4.8 / 3.1 1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 48.0 / 43.1 49.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 75.8 / 77.5 52.0 / 85.0
Rebounding 27.9 / 31.7 34.0 / 32.0
Steals 5.1 / 3.8 7.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 9.1 / 7.3 10.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
1%TICKETS99%
4%MONEY96%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
17%TICKETS83%
25%MONEY75%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
57%MONEY43%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NU
15-19-0 (44.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-: +0.6
UCLA Advantage
24-12-0 (66.7%)
Margin: 6.0 ATS +/-: 0.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NU Advantage
16-16-2 (50.0%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-: +0.6
UCLA
17-18-1 (48.6%)
Margin: 6.0 ATS +/-: 0.0
⚖️ Over/Under
NU
15-18-1
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: -1.0
UCLA
17-19-0
O: 47.2% / U: 52.8% Total +/-: +2.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UCLA
NU
UCLA
NU
ML
67% 24-12
47% 16-18
76% 25-8
68% 23-11
ATS
61% 22-14
50% 17-17
76% 25-8
68% 23-11
TTL
61% 22-14
53% 18-16
100% 33-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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