UTAH
UTESUTAH
9-10 | Road
78
BYU
COUGARSBYU
16-2 | Home
91
AI Model Win Probability
UTES
100%
COUGARS
0%
UTES
--
COUGARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
139.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
BYU
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (BYU)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BYU -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BYU)
UTAH By 1-7 points
12.2%
UTAH By 8-14 points
4.0%
BYU By 1-7 points
24.3%
BYU By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Utah
65
UTAH
BYU
74
BYU
Simulated Score
Utah
69
UTAH
BYU
72
BYU
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cougars
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cougars
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cougars (+20.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Cougars (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u167.5
Loss
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Sim
u167.5
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 24, 2026
UTAH @ BYU
78 - 91
Jan 10, 2026
BYU @ UTAH
89 - 84
Mar 8, 2025
UTAH @ BYU
74 - 85
Jan 18, 2025
BYU @ UTAH
72 - 73
Dec 9, 2023
BYU @ UTAH
69 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+118.4% more
BYU: 5.2
vs
Utah: 2.4
Steals (L5)
+39.0% more
BYU: 7.2
vs
Utah: 5.2
Rebounding (L5)
+20.7% more
BYU: 41.3
vs
Utah: 34.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+11.9%
BYU: 78.7%
vs
Utah: 66.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UTAH Score
65.0
78
BYU Score
74.0
91
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
27.7 / 36.2
42.0 / 62.0
Assists
11.9 / 12.5
17.0 / 17.0
Blocks
5.2 / 2.4
5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
44.8 / 47.3
53.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
78.7 / 66.8
83.0 / 100.0
Rebounding
41.3 / 34.2
40.0 / 24.0
Steals
7.2 / 5.2
5.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
12.0 / 10.7
8.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTAH
10-22-0
(31.3%)
Margin: -4.8
ATS +/-: -0.6
BYU
Advantage
23-12-0
(65.7%)
Margin: 8.1
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTAH
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -4.8
ATS +/-: -0.6
BYU
16-19-0
(45.7%)
Margin: 8.1
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
UTAH
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8%
Total +/-: -0.5
BYU
17-18-0
O: 48.6% / U: 51.4%
Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BYU
UTAH
BYU
UTAH
ML
60%
21-14
56%
18-14
72%
23-9
67%
20-10
ATS
54%
19-16
56%
18-14
72%
23-9
67%
20-10
TTL
69%
24-11
41%
13-19
100%
32-0
100%
30-0
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