ALABAMA A&M
BULLDOGSAAMU
10-8 | Road
74
TEXAS SOUTHERN
TIGERSTXSO
4-13 | Home
89
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
0%
TIGERS
100%
BULLDOGS
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
146.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
ALABAMA A&M
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (Alabama A&M)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around AAMU -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (AAMU)
AAMU By 1-7 points
10.7%
AAMU By 8-14 points
21.6%
TXSO By 1-7 points
2.7%
TXSO By 8-14 points
0.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Alabama A&M
82
ALABAMA A&M
Texas Southern
64
TEXAS SOUTHERN
Simulated Score
Alabama A&M
62
ALABAMA A&M
Texas Southern
68
TEXAS SOUTHERN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bulldogs
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bulldogs (-1)
Loss
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim
Tigers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o144.5
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Sim
u144.5
Win
Proj Total: 130.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 12, 2026
AAMU @ TXSO
85 - 74
Jan 24, 2026
AAMU @ TXSO
74 - 89
Jan 25, 2025
TXSO @ AAMU
82 - 78
Mar 15, 2024
AAMU @ TXSO
65 - 72
Jan 27, 2024
AAMU @ TXSO
69 - 85
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+35.0% more
Alabama A&M: 9.2
vs
Texas Southern: 6.0
Blocks (L5)
+13.6% more
Alabama A&M: 2.9
vs
Texas Southern: 2.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.3%
Alabama A&M: 76.1%
vs
Texas Southern: 71.8%
Assists (L5)
+12.4% more
Texas Southern: 13.8
vs
Alabama A&M: 12.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
AAMU Score
82.0
74
TXSO Score
64.0
89
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.6 / 27.6
55.0 / 50.0
Assists
13.8 / 12.3
16.0 / 12.0
Blocks
2.5 / 2.9
4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
47.0 / 45.2
52.0 / 50.0
Free Throw %
71.8 / 76.1
75.0 / 65.0
Rebounding
34.7 / 34.6
33.0 / 29.0
Steals
6.0 / 9.2
9.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
12.1 / 12.4
7.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
AAMU
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: -0.5
ATS +/-: -0.1
TXSO
12-18-0
(40.0%)
Margin: -2.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
AAMU
Advantage
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -0.5
ATS +/-: -0.1
TXSO
9-19-0
(32.1%)
Margin: -2.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
AAMU
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +2.3
TXSO
14-14-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TXSO
AAMU
TXSO
AAMU
ML
64%
18-10
55%
16-13
71%
17-7
67%
16-8
ATS
61%
17-11
55%
16-13
71%
17-7
67%
16-8
TTL
71%
20-8
66%
19-10
100%
24-0
100%
24-0
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