AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN EAGLES
0%
COUGARS
100%
GOLDEN EAGLES
--
COUGARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
118.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-34.0
TENNESSEE TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +34.0 points (Tennessee Tech)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around TNTC -34.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TNTC)
TNTC By 1-7 points
0.4%
TNTC By 8-14 points
2.2%
SIUE By 1-7 points
0.0%
SIUE By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Tennessee Tech
76
TENNESSEE TECH
SIU Edwardsville
42
SIU EDWARDSVILLE
Simulated Score
Tennessee Tech
68
TENNESSEE TECH
SIU Edwardsville
72
SIU EDWARDSVILLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Golden Eagles
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cougars
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Golden Eagles (-7.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -34.0
D
Sim
Cougars (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u135.5
Win
Proj Total: 118.0
D
Sim
u135.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 19, 2026
SIUE @ TNTC
52 - 62
Jan 24, 2026
TNTC @ SIUE
58 - 62
Feb 6, 2025
SIUE @ TNTC
75 - 58
Jan 11, 2025
TNTC @ SIUE
59 - 67
Feb 22, 2024
SIUE @ TNTC
78 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+9.6% more
Tennessee Tech: 13.1
vs
SIU Edwardsville: 11.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.5%
Tennessee Tech: 69.3%
vs
SIU Edwardsville: 65.8%
Assists (L5)
+94.4% more
SIU Edwardsville: 15.0
vs
Tennessee Tech: 7.7
Blocks (L5)
+61.0% more
SIU Edwardsville: 5.1
vs
Tennessee Tech: 3.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TNTC Score
76.0
58
SIUE Score
42.0
62
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.4 / 26.1
24.0 / 18.0
Assists
15.0 / 7.7
9.0 / 8.0
Blocks
5.1 / 3.2
4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
46.4 / 39.3
42.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
65.8 / 69.3
80.0 / 73.0
Rebounding
34.2 / 34.7
36.0 / 35.0
Steals
6.2 / 5.9
3.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
11.8 / 13.1
8.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TNTC
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.4
SIUE
Advantage
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 6.3
ATS +/-: +1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TNTC
14-14-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.4
SIUE
Advantage
15-14-0
(51.7%)
Margin: 6.3
ATS +/-: +1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
TNTC
14-14-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -0.6
SIUE
11-18-0
O: 37.9% / U: 62.1%
Total +/-: -4.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SIUE
TNTC
SIUE
TNTC
ML
65%
20-11
50%
15-15
60%
18-12
65%
15-8
ATS
55%
17-14
50%
15-15
60%
18-12
65%
15-8
TTL
48%
15-16
57%
17-13
100%
30-0
100%
23-0