AUBURN
TIGERSAUB
12-7 | Road
76
FLORIDA
GATORSFLA
14-5 | Home
67
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
100%
GATORS
0%
TIGERS
--
GATORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
178.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-50.0
FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +50.0 points (Florida)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around FLA -50.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FLA)
AUB By 1-7 points
0.0%
AUB By 8-14 points
0.0%
FLA By 1-7 points
0.0%
FLA By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Auburn
64
AUBURN
Florida
114
FLORIDA
Simulated Score
Auburn
73
AUBURN
Florida
78
FLORIDA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Gators
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Gators
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Gators (-11.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -50.0
D
Sim
Gators (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o161.5
Loss
Proj Total: 178.0
D
Sim
u161.5
Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 24, 2026
AUB @ FLA
76 - 67
Apr 5, 2025
FLA @ AUB
79 - 73
Feb 8, 2025
FLA @ AUB
90 - 81
Mar 17, 2024
FLA @ AUB
67 - 86
Feb 10, 2024
AUB @ FLA
65 - 81
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+28.0% more
Florida: 15.4
vs
Auburn: 12.1
Rebounding (L5)
+17.9% more
Florida: 45.7
vs
Auburn: 38.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+10.1%
Florida: 31.8%
vs
Auburn: 21.7%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.0%
Florida: 47.3%
vs
Auburn: 44.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
AUB Score
64.0
76
FLA Score
114.0
67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.8 / 21.7
26.0 / 33.0
Assists
15.4 / 12.1
13.0 / 8.0
Blocks
3.8 / 4.9
7.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
47.3 / 44.3
37.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
68.5 / 76.2
59.0 / 90.0
Rebounding
45.7 / 38.8
39.0 / 32.0
Steals
7.3 / 7.3
8.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
9.8 / 10.5
11.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
AUB
22-16-0
(57.9%)
Margin: 4.2
ATS +/-: -1.5
FLA
Advantage
27-8-0
(77.1%)
Margin: 15.6
ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
AUB
15-23-0
(39.5%)
Margin: 4.2
ATS +/-: -1.5
FLA
Advantage
18-17-0
(51.4%)
Margin: 15.6
ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
AUB
22-16-0
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1%
Total +/-: +4.2
FLA
14-20-1
O: 41.2% / U: 58.8%
Total +/-: -1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FLA
AUB
FLA
AUB
ML
77%
27-8
58%
22-16
63%
22-13
75%
24-8
ATS
69%
24-11
74%
28-10
63%
22-13
75%
24-8
TTL
63%
22-13
53%
20-18
100%
35-0
100%
32-0
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