EASTERN ILLINOIS
PANTHERSEIU
9-11 | Road
68
MOREHEAD STATE
EAGLESMORE
10-10 | Home
73
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
100%
EAGLES
0%
PANTHERS
--
EAGLES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
146.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-28.0
MOREHEAD STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +28.0 points (Morehead State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MORE -28.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MORE)
EIU By 1-7 points
0.2%
EIU By 8-14 points
0.0%
MORE By 1-7 points
1.7%
MORE By 8-14 points
6.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Eastern Illinois
59
EASTERN ILLINOIS
Morehead State
87
MOREHEAD STATE
Simulated Score
Eastern Illinois
60
EASTERN ILLINOIS
Morehead State
72
MOREHEAD STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Eagles
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Eagles
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Eagles (-3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -28.0
D
Sim
Eagles (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o135.5
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Sim
u135.5
Win
Proj Total: 132.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 19, 2026
MORE @ EIU
73 - 70
Jan 24, 2026
EIU @ MORE
68 - 73
Feb 22, 2025
EIU @ MORE
67 - 62
Jan 23, 2025
MORE @ EIU
73 - 66
Feb 10, 2024
EIU @ MORE
57 - 69
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+61.4% more
Morehead State: 14.9
vs
Eastern Illinois: 9.2
Rebounding (L5)
+13.1% more
Morehead State: 40.3
vs
Eastern Illinois: 35.7
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.0%
Morehead State: 45.3%
vs
Eastern Illinois: 40.3%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.1%
Morehead State: 30.5%
vs
Eastern Illinois: 26.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
EIU Score
59.0
68
MORE Score
87.0
73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.5 / 26.4
50.0 / 43.0
Assists
14.9 / 9.2
10.0 / 11.0
Blocks
3.0 / 3.9
10.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
45.3 / 40.3
52.0 / 36.0
Free Throw %
67.6 / 77.2
88.0 / 83.0
Rebounding
40.3 / 35.7
30.0 / 30.0
Steals
4.5 / 7.6
4.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
9.9 / 13.2
17.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
EIU
13-20-0
(39.4%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: +0.8
MORE
Advantage
20-13-0
(60.6%)
Margin: 0.5
ATS +/-: +0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
EIU
15-13-2
(53.6%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: +0.8
MORE
Advantage
17-13-0
(56.7%)
Margin: 0.5
ATS +/-: +0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
EIU
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: -1.7
MORE
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +3.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MORE
EIU
MORE
EIU
ML
62%
20-12
56%
18-14
68%
21-10
74%
23-8
ATS
59%
19-13
50%
16-16
68%
21-10
74%
23-8
TTL
53%
17-15
69%
22-10
100%
31-0
100%
31-0
Contextual Game News
Cayden Boozer's Return to Duke: Trusting the Vision in a Loaded …
Week 7 High School Football Picks: Mater Dei Faces JSerra, Chami…
Kentucky's AP Poll Exit Exposes Uphill Battle for National Respe…
Calipari Drops Stunner: Nine Arkansas Players Outearn Assistant …
Isaiah Marshall's Rocky Start: Kansas QB Shows Flashes but Seeks…