Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Panthers @ Highlanders HPU @ RAD

HIGH POINT

PANTHERSHPU

17-4  |  Road

93
FINAL
Fri, Jan 23 • 7:00 PM ET
The Dedmon Center
View Odds Details →

RADFORD

HIGHLANDERSRAD

11-10  |  Home

83
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
0%
📊
HIGHLANDERS
100%
PANTHERS --
HIGHLANDERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
167.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+3.0
RADFORD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
PanthersHPU (-3.5) 0 HighlandersRAD (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Panthers Cover

38.2%

Highlanders Cover

61.8%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around RAD +3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (RAD)

HPU By 1-7 points

27.2%

HPU By 8-14 points

20.1%

RAD By 1-7 points

21.6%

RAD By 8-14 points

10.7%

AI Model Projected Score
85
HIGH POINT
82
RADFORD
Simulated Score
73
HIGH POINT
78
RADFORD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Panthers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Highlanders Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Highlanders (+7.5) Win
Proj Spread: +3.0
D
Sim Highlanders (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o165.5 Win
Proj Total: 167.0
D
Sim u165.5 Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 7, 2026 RAD @ HPU 77 - 86
Jan 23, 2026 HPU @ RAD 93 - 83
Mar 8, 2025 RAD @ HPU 73 - 76
Feb 5, 2025 HPU @ RAD 78 - 75
Jan 2, 2025 RAD @ HPU 58 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +38.4% more
High Point: 4.9 vs Radford: 3.0
Steals (L5) +34.0% more
High Point: 8.2 vs Radford: 5.4
Assists (L5) +32.2% more
High Point: 16.5 vs Radford: 11.2
Rebounding (L5) +16.7% more
High Point: 39.4 vs Radford: 32.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
HPU Score 85.0 93
RAD Score 82.0 83
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.4 / 34.3 36.0 / 41.0
Assists 11.2 / 16.5 14.0 / 22.0
Blocks 3.0 / 4.9 2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 49.2 / 47.4 51.0 / 51.0
Free Throw % 73.2 / 70.7 72.0 / 76.0
Rebounding 32.8 / 39.4 33.0 / 27.0
Steals 5.4 / 8.2 5.0 / 12.0
Turnovers 12.9 / 8.1 18.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
94%TICKETS6%
84%MONEY16%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
68%MONEY32%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
30%TICKETS70%
50%MONEY50%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HPU Advantage
31-5-0 (86.1%)
Margin: 18.5 ATS +/-: +1.2
RAD
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: -2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HPU Advantage
17-15-1 (53.1%)
Margin: 18.5 ATS +/-: +1.2
RAD
14-15-0 (48.3%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: -2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
HPU
22-11-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3% Total +/-: +1.4
RAD
16-13-0
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8% Total +/-: +2.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RAD
HPU
RAD
HPU
ML
77% 23-7
80% 28-7
76% 22-7
80% 28-7
ATS
63% 19-11
71% 25-10
77% 23-7
80% 28-7
TTL
67% 20-10
66% 23-12
100% 30-0
100% 35-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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