Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Sharks @ Skyhawks LIU @ STO

LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY

SHARKSLIU

11-8  |  Road

66
FINAL
Fri, Jan 23 • 7:00 PM ET
Merkert Gymnasium
View Odds Details →

STONEHILL

SKYHAWKSSTO

6-13  |  Home

63
AI Model Win Probability
SHARKS
100%
📊
SKYHAWKS
0%
SHARKS --
SKYHAWKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
121.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-33.0
STONEHILL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +33.0 points (Stonehill)
SharksLIU (-3.5) 0 SkyhawksSTO (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Sharks Cover

0.0%

Skyhawks Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around STO -33.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STO)

LIU By 1-7 points

0.0%

LIU By 8-14 points

0.0%

STO By 1-7 points

0.5%

STO By 8-14 points

2.7%

AI Model Projected Score
44
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
77
STONEHILL
Simulated Score
68
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
72
STONEHILL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Skyhawks Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Skyhawks Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Skyhawks (+6.5) Win
Proj Spread: -33.0
D
Sim Skyhawks (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u137.5 Win
Proj Total: 121.0
D
Sim u137.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 7, 2026 STO @ LIU 54 - 61
Jan 23, 2026 LIU @ STO 66 - 63
Feb 8, 2025 STO @ LIU 59 - 62
Jan 10, 2025 LIU @ STO 70 - 60
Jan 25, 2024 STO @ LIU 60 - 63
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +20.7% more
Stonehill: 16.5 vs Long Island University: 13.7
Free Throw % (L5) +11.4%
Stonehill: 67.9% vs Long Island University: 56.5%
Assists (L5) +10.3% more
Stonehill: 13.5 vs Long Island University: 12.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +3.1%
Stonehill: 35.2% vs Long Island University: 32.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LIU Score 44.0 66
STO Score 77.0 63
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.2 / 32.1 26.0 / 36.0
Assists 13.5 / 12.2 17.0 / 8.0
Blocks 3.8 / 5.0 4.0 / 7.0
Field Goal % 43.1 / 46.0 46.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 67.9 / 56.5 60.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 39.3 / 40.1 39.0 / 28.0
Steals 3.7 / 7.5 4.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 16.5 / 13.7 15.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
93%TICKETS7%
77%MONEY23%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
66%MONEY34%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
58%MONEY42%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LIU
--
STO Advantage
12-21-0 (36.4%)
Margin: -2.2 ATS +/-: +0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LIU
--
STO Advantage
14-15-2 (48.3%)
Margin: -2.2 ATS +/-: +0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
LIU
--
STO
11-20-0
O: 35.5% / U: 64.5% Total +/-: -4.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STO
LIU
STO
LIU
ML
45% 15-18
60% 21-14
70% 23-10
69% 24-11
ATS
39% 13-20
63% 22-13
70% 23-10
69% 24-11
TTL
55% 18-15
60% 21-14
100% 33-0
100% 35-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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