FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
KNIGHTSFDU
6-13 | Road
76
CENTRAL CONNECTICUT
BLUE DEVILSCCSU
10-7 | Home
66
AI Model Win Probability
KNIGHTS
0%
BLUE DEVILS
100%
KNIGHTS
--
BLUE DEVILS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
123.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Fairleigh Dickinson)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around FDU -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FDU)
FDU By 1-7 points
21.6%
FDU By 8-14 points
27.4%
CCSU By 1-7 points
9.3%
CCSU By 8-14 points
2.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Fairleigh Dickinson
67
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
Central Connecticut
56
CENTRAL CONNECTICUT
Simulated Score
Fairleigh Dickinson
70
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
Central Connecticut
75
CENTRAL CONNECTICUT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Knights
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blue Devils
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Knights (-7.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim
Blue Devils (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u142.5
Win
Proj Total: 123.0
D
Sim
u142.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 14, 2026
CCSU @ FDU
63 - 57
Jan 23, 2026
FDU @ CCSU
76 - 66
Mar 8, 2025
FDU @ CCSU
72 - 76
Feb 6, 2025
FDU @ CCSU
66 - 87
Jan 18, 2025
CCSU @ FDU
71 - 60
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+20.7% more
Fairleigh Dickinson: 12.3
vs
Central Connecticut: 9.8
Steals (L5)
+11.0% more
Fairleigh Dickinson: 5.6
vs
Central Connecticut: 5.0
Blocks (L5)
+230.5% more
Central Connecticut: 3.5
vs
Fairleigh Dickinson: 1.1
Assists (L5)
+71.8% more
Central Connecticut: 14.1
vs
Fairleigh Dickinson: 8.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FDU Score
67.0
76
CCSU Score
56.0
66
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.4 / 30.4
33.0 / 50.0
Assists
14.1 / 8.2
8.0 / 19.0
Blocks
3.5 / 1.1
5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
46.2 / 40.8
48.0 / 52.0
Free Throw %
79.0 / 70.5
85.0 / 82.0
Rebounding
32.6 / 33.5
32.0 / 24.0
Steals
5.0 / 5.6
2.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
9.8 / 12.3
11.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FDU
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -3.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
CCSU
Advantage
18-12-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.9
ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FDU
10-18-1
(35.7%)
Margin: -3.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
CCSU
Advantage
14-13-1
(51.8%)
Margin: 2.9
ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
FDU
9-20-0
O: 31.0% / U: 69.0%
Total +/-: -2.5
CCSU
15-13-0
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4%
Total +/-: +3.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CCSU
FDU
CCSU
FDU
ML
57%
17-13
65%
20-11
57%
17-13
74%
23-8
ATS
63%
19-11
68%
21-10
57%
17-13
74%
23-8
TTL
60%
18-12
58%
18-13
100%
30-0
100%
31-0
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