BOSTON
CELTICSBOS
27-16 | Road
130
BROOKLYN
NETSBKN
12-30 | Home
126
AI Model Win Probability
CELTICS
0%
NETS
100%
CELTICS
--
NETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
246.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+2.0
BROOKLYN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BKN +2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BKN)
BOS By 1-7 points
26.8%
BOS By 8-14 points
18.6%
BKN By 1-7 points
23.0%
BKN By 8-14 points
12.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston
124
BOSTON
Brooklyn
122
BROOKLYN
Simulated Score
Boston
109
BOSTON
Brooklyn
118
BROOKLYN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Celtics
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Nets
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Nets (+8)
Win
Proj Spread: +2.0
D
Sim
Nets (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o214.5
Win
Proj Total: 246.0
D
Sim
u214.5
Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 27, 2026
BKN @ BOS
111 - 148
Jan 23, 2026
BOS @ BKN
130 - 126
Nov 21, 2025
BKN @ BOS
113 - 105
Nov 18, 2025
BOS @ BKN
113 - 99
Mar 18, 2025
BKN @ BOS
96 - 104
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+33.2% more
Boston: 50.5
vs
Brooklyn: 33.8
Blocks (L5)
+30.4% more
Boston: 5.3
vs
Brooklyn: 3.7
Steals (L5)
+20.3% more
Boston: 7.3
vs
Brooklyn: 5.9
Turnovers (L5)
+16.2% more
Boston: 14.4
vs
Brooklyn: 12.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOS Score
124.0
130
BKN Score
122.0
126
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.6 / 36.7
30.0 / 43.0
Assists
23.8 / 21.6
22.0 / 35.0
Blocks
3.7 / 5.3
6.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
40.9 / 46.0
44.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
76.7 / 85.5
85.0 / 63.0
Rebounding
33.8 / 50.5
58.0 / 41.0
Steals
5.9 / 7.3
5.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
12.1 / 14.4
18.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BOS
Advantage
59-30-0
(66.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BOS
Advantage
51-38-0
(57.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
BKN
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0%
Total +/-: -3.2
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BKN
BOS
BKN
BOS
ML
53%
50-45
57%
61-46
59%
48-34
53%
47-41
ATS
52%
48-44-3
59%
61-43-3
59%
48-34
53%
47-41
TTL
57%
54-41
56%
60-47
100%
82-0
100%
88-0
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