TULANE
GREEN WAVETULN
12-7 | Road
70
CHARLOTTE
49ERSCLT
10-9 | Home
73
AI Model Win Probability
GREEN WAVE
100%
49ERS
0%
GREEN WAVE
--
49ERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
129.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
CHARLOTTE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Charlotte)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CLT -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLT)
TULN By 1-7 points
6.8%
TULN By 8-14 points
1.7%
CLT By 1-7 points
18.6%
CLT By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Tulane
58
TULANE
Charlotte
71
CHARLOTTE
Simulated Score
Tulane
70
TULANE
Charlotte
78
CHARLOTTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
49ers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
49ers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
49ers (-2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim
49ers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u143.5
Win
Proj Total: 129.0
D
Sim
u143.5
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 12, 2026
TULN @ CLT
60 - 74
Jan 23, 2026
TULN @ CLT
70 - 73
Feb 26, 2025
CLT @ TULN
64 - 78
Dec 31, 2024
TULN @ CLT
83 - 68
Jan 27, 2024
CLT @ TULN
75 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+11.6% more
Charlotte: 12.9
vs
Tulane: 11.6
Field Goal % (L5)
+9.5%
Charlotte: 49.5%
vs
Tulane: 40.0%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.9%
Charlotte: 39.7%
vs
Tulane: 32.8%
Steals (L5)
+40.0% more
Tulane: 6.7
vs
Charlotte: 4.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TULN Score
58.0
70
CLT Score
71.0
73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.7 / 32.8
38.0 / 19.0
Assists
12.7 / 11.8
11.0 / 5.0
Blocks
3.7 / 4.2
3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
49.5 / 40.0
51.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
79.0 / 79.6
72.0 / 83.0
Rebounding
33.4 / 31.1
36.0 / 19.0
Steals
4.0 / 6.7
3.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
12.9 / 11.6
17.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TULN
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: -2.7
CLT
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -1.1
ATS +/-: +0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TULN
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: -2.7
CLT
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: -1.1
ATS +/-: +0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
TULN
13-18-1
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: -1.2
CLT
19-13-1
O: 59.4% / U: 40.6%
Total +/-: +3.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLT
TULN
CLT
TULN
ML
62%
21-13
70%
23-10
67%
22-11
47%
15-17
ATS
68%
23-11
62%
20-12-1
67%
22-11
47%
15-17
TTL
65%
22-12
55%
18-15
100%
33-0
100%
32-0
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