SAINT LOUIS
BILLIKENSSLU
18-1 | Road
97
ST. BONAVENTURE
BONNIESSBU
12-7 | Home
62
AI Model Win Probability
BILLIKENS
100%
BONNIES
0%
BILLIKENS
--
BONNIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
144.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-32.0
ST. BONAVENTURE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +32.0 points (St. Bonaventure)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SBU -32.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SBU)
SLU By 1-7 points
0.1%
SLU By 8-14 points
0.0%
SBU By 1-7 points
0.6%
SBU By 8-14 points
3.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Saint Louis
56
SAINT LOUIS
St. Bonaventure
88
ST. BONAVENTURE
Simulated Score
Saint Louis
69
SAINT LOUIS
St. Bonaventure
73
ST. BONAVENTURE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bonnies
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bonnies
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bonnies (+6.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -32.0
D
Sim
Bonnies (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u158.5
Loss
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Sim
u158.5
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 23, 2026
SLU @ SBU
97 - 62
Jan 8, 2025
SBU @ SLU
68 - 73
Mar 9, 2024
SLU @ SBU
73 - 65
Jan 7, 2023
SBU @ SLU
55 - 78
Mar 11, 2022
SLU @ SBU
57 - 56
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+23.7% more
St. Bonaventure: 9.1
vs
Saint Louis: 7.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.9%
St. Bonaventure: 79.1%
vs
Saint Louis: 70.2%
Turnovers (L5)
+28.5% more
Saint Louis: 11.6
vs
St. Bonaventure: 8.3
Rebounding (L5)
+21.6% more
Saint Louis: 39.7
vs
St. Bonaventure: 31.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SLU Score
56.0
97
SBU Score
88.0
62
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.5 / 40.6
18.0 / 58.0
Assists
17.4 / 18.9
12.0 / 24.0
Blocks
3.2 / 3.4
7.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
45.1 / 50.5
34.0 / 58.0
Free Throw %
79.1 / 70.2
67.0 / 44.0
Rebounding
31.1 / 39.7
34.0 / 40.0
Steals
9.1 / 7.3
4.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
8.3 / 11.6
11.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SLU
Advantage
29-6-0
(82.9%)
Margin: 16.8
ATS +/-: +2.4
SBU
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: -2.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SLU
Advantage
19-13-2
(59.4%)
Margin: 16.8
ATS +/-: +2.4
SBU
13-20-0
(39.4%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: -2.3
⚖️ Over/Under
SLU
18-16-0
O: 52.9% / U: 47.1%
Total +/-: -0.3
SBU
20-13-0
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4%
Total +/-: +5.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SBU
SLU
SBU
SLU
ML
59%
20-14
70%
23-10
61%
20-13
68%
21-10
ATS
50%
17-17
73%
24-9
61%
20-13
68%
21-10
TTL
38%
13-21
61%
20-13
100%
33-0
100%
31-0
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