KENNESAW STATE
OWLSKENN
12-7 | Road
76
LOUISIANA TECH
BULLDOGSLT
10-8 | Home
82
AI Model Win Probability
OWLS
100%
BULLDOGS
0%
OWLS
--
BULLDOGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
161.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
LOUISIANA TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (Louisiana Tech)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LT -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LT)
KENN By 1-7 points
1.4%
KENN By 8-14 points
0.2%
LT By 1-7 points
6.8%
LT By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Kennesaw State
70
KENNESAW STATE
Louisiana Tech
91
LOUISIANA TECH
Simulated Score
Kennesaw State
69
KENNESAW STATE
Louisiana Tech
78
LOUISIANA TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bulldogs
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulldogs
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bulldogs (+1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim
Bulldogs (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o143.5
Win
Proj Total: 161.0
D
Sim
u143.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 14, 2026
KENN @ LT
71 - 60
Feb 21, 2026
LT @ KENN
55 - 58
Jan 23, 2026
KENN @ LT
76 - 82
Feb 13, 2025
KENN @ LT
69 - 47
Jan 18, 2025
LT @ KENN
76 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+9.5% more
Louisiana Tech: 6.5
vs
Kennesaw State: 5.9
Assists (L5)
+45.7% more
Kennesaw State: 16.9
vs
Louisiana Tech: 9.2
Blocks (L5)
+31.8% more
Kennesaw State: 6.0
vs
Louisiana Tech: 4.1
Rebounding (L5)
+14.9% more
Kennesaw State: 41.9
vs
Louisiana Tech: 35.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
KENN Score
70.0
76
LT Score
91.0
82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
23.3 / 37.6
50.0 / 35.0
Assists
9.2 / 16.9
10.0 / 12.0
Blocks
4.1 / 6.0
5.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
38.8 / 42.4
53.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
73.3 / 73.2
67.0 / 70.0
Rebounding
35.7 / 41.9
34.0 / 30.0
Steals
6.5 / 5.9
5.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
9.4 / 10.7
11.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KENN
Advantage
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 6.8
ATS +/-: +0.8
LT
20-14-0
(58.8%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: +1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KENN
15-16-1
(48.4%)
Margin: 6.8
ATS +/-: +0.8
LT
Advantage
17-13-1
(56.7%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: +1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
KENN
14-17-1
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: +0.8
LT
15-15-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -2.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LT
KENN
LT
KENN
ML
58%
19-14
74%
25-9
72%
23-9
72%
23-9
ATS
61%
20-13
71%
24-10
72%
23-9
73%
24-9
TTL
61%
20-13
56%
19-15
100%
32-0
100%
33-0
Contextual Game News
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