PHILADELPHIA
FLYERSPHI
23-17-9 | Road
7
COLORADO
AVALANCHECOL
34-5-9 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Cam York
#8 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Mackenzie Blackwood
#39 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam York | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Mackenzie Blackwood | None-None | 6.25 | 0.684 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
6.25
--
Save %
0.684
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
FLYERS
0%
AVALANCHE
100%
FLYERS
--
AVALANCHE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around COL +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)
PHI By 1 goal
19.7%
PHI By 2-3 goals
29.6%
COL By 1 goal
12.1%
COL By 2-3 goals
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
4
PHILADELPHIA
Colorado
3
COLORADO
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
2
PHILADELPHIA
Colorado
4
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Flyers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Avalanche
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Avalanche (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim
Avalanche (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 23, 2026
PHI @ COL
7 - 3
Dec 7, 2025
COL @ PHI
3 - 2
Feb 2, 2025
PHI @ COL
0 - 2
Nov 18, 2024
COL @ PHI
3 - 2
Jan 20, 2024
COL @ PHI
7 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+38.0% more
Philadelphia: 23.2
vs
Colorado: 14.4
Blocked Shots (L5)
+12.4% more
Philadelphia: 15.4
vs
Colorado: 13.5
Power Play % (L5)
+4.6%
Philadelphia: 14.1%
vs
Colorado: 9.5%
Faceoff % (L5)
+2.7%
Philadelphia: 52.9%
vs
Colorado: 50.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
4.0
7
COL Score
3.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.5 / 15.4
10.0 / 21.0
Faceoff %
50.2 / 52.9
48.0 / 52.0
Hits
14.4 / 23.2
15.0 / 21.0
Power Play %
9.5 / 14.1
0.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
39.4 / 25.5
35.0 / 20.0
Takeaways
6.3 / 3.7
3.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
PHI
COL
PHI
ML
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
ATS
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
TTL
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
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