Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Panthers @ Colonials MILW @ RMU

MILWAUKEE

PANTHERSMILW

8-12  |  Road

76
FINAL
Thu, Jan 22 • 7:00 PM ET
UPMC Events Center
View Odds Details →

ROBERT MORRIS

COLONIALSRMU

12-8  |  Home

88
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
0%
📊
COLONIALS
100%
PANTHERS --
COLONIALS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
148.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-34.0
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +34.0 points (Milwaukee)
PanthersMILW (-3.5) 0 ColonialsRMU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Panthers Cover

100.0%

Colonials Cover

0.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MILW -34.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MILW)

MILW By 1-7 points

0.4%

MILW By 8-14 points

2.2%

RMU By 1-7 points

0.0%

RMU By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
91
MILWAUKEE
57
ROBERT MORRIS
Simulated Score
75
MILWAUKEE
70
ROBERT MORRIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Panthers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Panthers (-4.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -34.0
D
Sim Panthers (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u151.5 Loss
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Sim u151.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 22, 2026 MILW @ RMU 76 - 88
Dec 6, 2025 RMU @ MILW 72 - 74
Feb 23, 2025 MILW @ RMU 59 - 72
Jan 19, 2025 RMU @ MILW 81 - 79
Feb 10, 2024 MILW @ RMU 60 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +54.9% more
Milwaukee: 2.8 vs Robert Morris: 1.3
Assists (L5) +50.0% more
Robert Morris: 17.8 vs Milwaukee: 11.9
Turnovers (L5) +21.4% more
Robert Morris: 14.4 vs Milwaukee: 11.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +8.1%
Robert Morris: 39.0% vs Milwaukee: 30.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MILW Score 91.0 76
RMU Score 57.0 88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.0 / 30.9 53.0 / 41.0
Assists 17.8 / 11.9 22.0 / 9.0
Blocks 1.3 / 2.8 4.0 / 7.0
Field Goal % 46.9 / 45.7 58.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 71.7 / 68.8 63.0 / 65.0
Rebounding 37.8 / 36.3 40.0 / 25.0
Steals 5.5 / 5.3 5.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 14.4 / 11.9 16.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
5%TICKETS95%
8%MONEY92%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
20%TICKETS80%
8%MONEY92%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
89%MONEY11%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MILW
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -3.4 ATS +/-: -3.0
RMU Advantage
22-11-0 (66.7%)
Margin: 5.3 ATS +/-: +2.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MILW
12-19-0 (38.7%)
Margin: -3.4 ATS +/-: -3.0
RMU Advantage
19-11-1 (63.3%)
Margin: 5.3 ATS +/-: +2.5
⚖️ Over/Under
MILW
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: -1.0
RMU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RMU
MILW
RMU
MILW
ML
36% 12-21
50% 16-16
56% 18-14
69% 22-10
ATS
55% 18-15
47% 15-17
56% 18-14
69% 22-10
TTL
55% 18-15
59% 19-13
100% 32-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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