Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Panthers @ Miners FIU @ UTEP

FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL

PANTHERSFIU

9-9  |  Road

77
FINAL
Thu, Jan 22 • 9:00 PM ET
Don Haskins Center
View Odds Details →

UTEP

MINERSUTEP

6-12  |  Home

83
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
0%
📊
MINERS
100%
PANTHERS --
MINERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
188.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (Florida International)
PanthersFIU (-3.5) 0 MinersUTEP (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Panthers Cover

96.4%

Miners Cover

3.6%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around FIU -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FIU)

FIU By 1-7 points

10.7%

FIU By 8-14 points

21.6%

UTEP By 1-7 points

2.7%

UTEP By 8-14 points

0.5%

AI Model Projected Score
103
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
85
UTEP
Simulated Score
65
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
71
UTEP
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Panthers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Miners Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Panthers (+1.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim Miners (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o149.5 Win
Proj Total: 188.0
D
Sim u149.5 Win
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 22, 2026 FIU @ UTEP 77 - 83
Jan 4, 2026 UTEP @ FIU 64 - 76
Feb 13, 2025 FIU @ UTEP 63 - 77
Jan 18, 2025 UTEP @ FIU 81 - 73
Mar 7, 2024 FIU @ UTEP 76 - 83
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +47.3% more
Florida International: 9.4 vs UTEP: 5.0
Rebounding (L5) +23.0% more
Florida International: 38.6 vs UTEP: 29.7
Turnovers (L5) +20.7% more
Florida International: 13.6 vs UTEP: 10.8
Free Throw % (L5) +2.9%
Florida International: 67.1% vs UTEP: 64.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
FIU Score 103.0 77
UTEP Score 85.0 83
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.3 / 36.7 44.0 / 46.0
Assists 12.7 / 13.1 20.0 / 9.0
Blocks 3.8 / 4.1 5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 45.5 / 39.8 52.0 / 50.0
Free Throw % 64.2 / 67.1 71.0 / 63.0
Rebounding 29.7 / 38.6 31.0 / 32.0
Steals 5.0 / 9.4 9.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 10.8 / 13.6 16.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
74%TICKETS26%
86%MONEY14%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
67%MONEY33%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
46%MONEY54%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FIU Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: +1.2
UTEP
11-20-0 (35.5%)
Margin: -3.1 ATS +/-: -1.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FIU Advantage
16-13-0 (55.2%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: +1.2
UTEP
13-15-0 (46.4%)
Margin: -3.1 ATS +/-: -1.7
⚖️ Over/Under
FIU
15-13-1
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4% Total +/-: +1.8
UTEP
12-15-1
O: 44.4% / U: 55.6% Total +/-: -1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTEP
FIU
UTEP
FIU
ML
70% 21-9
58% 18-13
72% 21-8
65% 20-11
ATS
57% 17-13
52% 16-15
73% 22-8
65% 20-11
TTL
60% 18-12
65% 20-11
100% 30-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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