Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Fighting Hawks @ Golden Eagles UND @ ORU

NORTH DAKOTA

FIGHTING HAWKSUND

10-12  |  Road

79
FINAL
Thu, Jan 22 • 8:00 PM ET
Mabee Center
View Odds Details →

ORAL ROBERTS

GOLDEN EAGLESORU

5-15  |  Home

62
AI Model Win Probability
FIGHTING HAWKS
0%
📊
GOLDEN EAGLES
100%
FIGHTING HAWKS --
GOLDEN EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
128.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-36.0
NORTH DAKOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +36.0 points (North Dakota)
Fighting HawksUND (-3.5) 0 Golden EaglesORU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Fighting Hawks Cover

100.0%

Golden Eagles Cover

0.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UND -36.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UND)

UND By 1-7 points

0.2%

UND By 8-14 points

1.4%

ORU By 1-7 points

0.0%

ORU By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
82
NORTH DAKOTA
46
ORAL ROBERTS
Simulated Score
70
NORTH DAKOTA
78
ORAL ROBERTS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Fighting Hawks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Eagles Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Fighting Hawks (-1.5) Win
Proj Spread: -36.0
D
Sim Golden Eagles (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u147.5 Win
Proj Total: 128.0
D
Sim u147.5 Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 22, 2026 UND @ ORU 79 - 62
Jan 1, 2026 ORU @ UND 61 - 72
Feb 15, 2025 ORU @ UND 77 - 88
Jan 11, 2025 UND @ ORU 79 - 83
Feb 17, 2024 UND @ ORU 78 - 65
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +45.8% more
North Dakota: 9.0 vs Oral Roberts: 4.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +12.5%
North Dakota: 39.7% vs Oral Roberts: 27.2%
Field Goal % (L5) +5.1%
North Dakota: 47.7% vs Oral Roberts: 42.7%
Blocks (L5) +37.8% more
Oral Roberts: 3.9 vs North Dakota: 2.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UND Score 82.0 79
ORU Score 46.0 62
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 27.2 / 39.7 16.0 / 56.0
Assists 11.6 / 10.8 11.0 / 12.0
Blocks 3.9 / 2.8 3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 42.7 / 47.7 42.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 68.5 / 67.0 70.0 / 89.0
Rebounding 32.2 / 33.0 36.0 / 30.0
Steals 4.9 / 9.0 3.0 / 13.0
Turnovers 10.7 / 8.9 18.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
32%MONEY68%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
36%MONEY64%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
87%MONEY13%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UND Advantage
18-17-0 (51.4%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-: +1.5
ORU
10-23-0 (30.3%)
Margin: -4.2 ATS +/-: -1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UND Advantage
21-11-0 (65.6%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-: +1.5
ORU
14-16-0 (46.7%)
Margin: -4.2 ATS +/-: -1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
UND
15-16-1
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6% Total +/-: +1.3
ORU
14-15-1
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORU
UND
ORU
UND
ML
85% 28-5
44% 15-19
73% 24-9
50% 17-17
ATS
82% 27-6
50% 17-17
73% 24-9
50% 17-17
TTL
61% 20-13
65% 22-12
100% 33-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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