TOWSON
TIGERSTOW
11-9 | Road
72
ELON
PHOENIXELON
12-7 | Home
59
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
0%
PHOENIX
100%
TIGERS
--
PHOENIX
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
144.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-36.0
TOWSON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +36.0 points (Towson)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around TOW -36.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOW)
TOW By 1-7 points
0.2%
TOW By 8-14 points
1.4%
ELON By 1-7 points
0.0%
ELON By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Towson
90
TOWSON
Elon
54
ELON
Simulated Score
Towson
72
TOWSON
Elon
68
ELON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Tigers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Tigers (-1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -36.0
D
Sim
Tigers (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u145.5
Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Sim
u145.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 26, 2026
ELON @ TOW
56 - 58
Jan 22, 2026
TOW @ ELON
72 - 59
Feb 20, 2025
TOW @ ELON
63 - 69
Feb 12, 2024
ELON @ TOW
55 - 80
Jan 21, 2023
TOW @ ELON
66 - 62
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+18.4% more
Towson: 40.3
vs
Elon: 32.8
Steals (L5)
+9.8% more
Towson: 7.1
vs
Elon: 6.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.6%
Towson: 75.2%
vs
Elon: 66.6%
Assists (L5)
+124.8% more
Elon: 19.2
vs
Towson: 8.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TOW Score
90.0
72
ELON Score
54.0
59
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
41.5 / 27.5
33.0 / 39.0
Assists
19.2 / 8.5
12.0 / 6.0
Blocks
3.3 / 2.3
3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
50.3 / 38.3
39.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
66.6 / 75.2
69.0 / 81.0
Rebounding
32.8 / 40.3
32.0 / 43.0
Steals
6.4 / 7.1
3.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
10.8 / 11.6
13.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TOW
Advantage
19-15-0
(55.9%)
Margin: 3.1
ATS +/-: -0.8
ELON
14-18-0
(43.8%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-: -1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TOW
Advantage
14-17-1
(45.2%)
Margin: 3.1
ATS +/-: -0.8
ELON
11-19-0
(36.7%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-: -1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
TOW
11-21-0
O: 34.4% / U: 65.6%
Total +/-: -5.5
ELON
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ELON
TOW
ELON
TOW
ML
61%
19-12
66%
21-11
71%
22-9
62%
20-12
ATS
55%
17-14
66%
21-11
71%
22-9
62%
20-12
TTL
52%
16-15
53%
17-15
100%
31-0
100%
32-0
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