ARMY
BLACK KNIGHTSARMY
7-12 | Road
87
BUCKNELL
BISONBUCK
6-13 | Home
84
AI Model Win Probability
BLACK KNIGHTS
0%
BISON
100%
BLACK KNIGHTS
--
BISON
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
109.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
ARMY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Army)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ARMY -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ARMY)
ARMY By 1-7 points
18.6%
ARMY By 8-14 points
26.8%
BUCK By 1-7 points
6.8%
BUCK By 8-14 points
1.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Army
61
ARMY
Bucknell
48
BUCKNELL
Simulated Score
Army
68
ARMY
Bucknell
72
BUCKNELL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Black Knights
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bison
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Black Knights (-4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim
Bison (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u144.5
Loss
Proj Total: 109.0
D
Sim
u144.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 3, 2026
ARMY @ BUCK
55 - 65
Feb 25, 2026
BUCK @ ARMY
75 - 73
Jan 21, 2026
ARMY @ BUCK
87 - 84
Feb 23, 2025
ARMY @ BUCK
53 - 84
Feb 8, 2025
BUCK @ ARMY
110 - 116
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+12.9% more
Army: 34.0
vs
Bucknell: 29.6
Assists (L5)
+10.4% more
Army: 15.6
vs
Bucknell: 14.0
Steals (L5)
+43.7% more
Bucknell: 6.8
vs
Army: 4.8
Turnovers (L5)
+40.5% more
Bucknell: 13.1
vs
Army: 9.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ARMY Score
61.0
87
BUCK Score
48.0
84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.2 / 33.1
33.0 / 39.0
Assists
14.0 / 15.6
13.0 / 13.0
Blocks
1.7 / 1.3
3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
43.5 / 43.8
48.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
82.8 / 76.8
78.0 / 90.0
Rebounding
29.6 / 34.0
29.0 / 33.0
Steals
6.8 / 4.8
10.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
13.1 / 9.4
9.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ARMY
Advantage
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -1.6
BUCK
10-23-0
(30.3%)
Margin: -8.9
ATS +/-: -3.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ARMY
12-18-0
(40.0%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -1.6
BUCK
Advantage
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: -8.9
ATS +/-: -3.9
⚖️ Over/Under
ARMY
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3%
Total +/-: +3.3
BUCK
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6%
Total +/-: +1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BUCK
ARMY
BUCK
ARMY
ML
55%
18-15
44%
14-18
64%
21-12
50%
16-16
ATS
45%
15-18
44%
14-18
64%
21-12
50%
16-16
TTL
61%
20-13
81%
26-6
100%
33-0
100%
32-0
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