FURMAN
PALADINSFUR
13-6 | Road
75
THE CITADEL
BULLDOGSCIT
5-14 | Home
77
AI Model Win Probability
PALADINS
0%
BULLDOGS
100%
PALADINS
--
BULLDOGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
128.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+6.0
THE CITADEL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CIT +6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CIT)
FUR By 1-7 points
26.8%
FUR By 8-14 points
24.3%
CIT By 1-7 points
16.9%
CIT By 8-14 points
6.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Furman
67
FURMAN
The Citadel
61
THE CITADEL
Simulated Score
Furman
78
FURMAN
The Citadel
69
THE CITADEL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Paladins
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Paladins
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bulldogs (+11.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +6.0
D
Sim
Paladins (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u140.5
Loss
Proj Total: 128.0
D
Sim
u140.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 25, 2026
CIT @ FUR
51 - 72
Jan 21, 2026
FUR @ CIT
75 - 77
Feb 26, 2025
CIT @ FUR
42 - 85
Jan 8, 2025
FUR @ CIT
67 - 63
Jan 31, 2024
FUR @ CIT
82 - 79
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+28.6% more
Furman: 5.6
vs
The Citadel: 4.0
Blocks (L5)
+14.7% more
Furman: 2.9
vs
The Citadel: 2.4
Assists (L5)
+11.2% more
Furman: 13.6
vs
The Citadel: 12.1
Rebounding (L5)
+11.0% more
Furman: 39.9
vs
The Citadel: 35.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FUR Score
67.0
75
CIT Score
61.0
77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.5 / 31.2
21.0 / 21.0
Assists
12.1 / 13.6
15.0 / 16.0
Blocks
2.4 / 2.9
1.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
42.8 / 44.4
42.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
79.7 / 69.0
77.0 / 81.0
Rebounding
35.5 / 39.9
39.0 / 39.0
Steals
4.0 / 5.6
7.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
13.1 / 12.5
10.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FUR
Advantage
22-13-0
(62.9%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: -0.3
CIT
11-22-0
(33.3%)
Margin: -7.2
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FUR
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: -0.3
CIT
Advantage
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -7.2
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
FUR
15-16-1
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6%
Total +/-: -0.9
CIT
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +2.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CIT
FUR
CIT
FUR
ML
59%
19-13
71%
25-10
62%
20-12
62%
21-13
ATS
62%
20-12
63%
22-13
64%
21-12
62%
21-13
TTL
53%
17-15
57%
20-15
100%
33-0
100%
34-0
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