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IU INDIANAPOLIS

JAGUARSIUIN

5-16  |  Road

103
FINAL
Wed, Jan 21 • 7:00 PM ET
OU Credit Union O'rena
View Odds Details →

OAKLAND

GOLDEN GRIZZLIESOAK

11-9  |  Home

85
AI Model Win Probability
JAGUARS
0%
📊
GOLDEN GRIZZLIES
100%
JAGUARS --
GOLDEN GRIZZLIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
168.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-22.0
IU INDIANAPOLIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +22.0 points (IU Indianapolis)
JaguarsIUIN (-3.5) 0 Golden GrizzliesOAK (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Jaguars Cover

98.6%

Golden Grizzlies Cover

1.4%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around IUIN -22.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IUIN)

IUIN By 1-7 points

5.8%

IUIN By 8-14 points

15.3%

OAK By 1-7 points

1.1%

OAK By 8-14 points

0.1%

AI Model Projected Score
95
IU INDIANAPOLIS
73
OAKLAND
Simulated Score
65
IU INDIANAPOLIS
78
OAKLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Jaguars Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Grizzlies Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Jaguars (-14.5) Win
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Sim Golden Grizzlies (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u176.5 Loss
Proj Total: 168.0
D
Sim u176.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 25, 2026 OAK @ IUIN 86 - 74
Jan 21, 2026 IUIN @ OAK 103 - 85
Feb 12, 2025 OAK @ IUIN 82 - 67
Jan 15, 2025 IUIN @ OAK 59 - 72
Feb 17, 2024 IUIN @ OAK 59 - 107
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +22.8% more
IU Indianapolis: 19.3 vs Oakland: 14.9
Steals (L5) +10.7% more
IU Indianapolis: 9.1 vs Oakland: 8.1
Free Throw % (L5) +1.7%
IU Indianapolis: 75.1% vs Oakland: 73.4%
Blocks (L5) +54.6% more
Oakland: 4.2 vs IU Indianapolis: 2.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
IUIN Score 95.0 103
OAK Score 73.0 85
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.5 / 30.3 45.0 / 50.0
Assists 14.9 / 19.3 21.0 / 31.0
Blocks 4.2 / 2.7 4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 48.3 / 45.3 47.0 / 60.0
Free Throw % 73.4 / 75.1 63.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 38.5 / 31.1 29.0 / 40.0
Steals 8.1 / 9.1 8.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 10.5 / 10.7 10.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
24%MONEY76%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
29%TICKETS71%
16%MONEY84%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
33%TICKETS67%
39%MONEY61%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
IUIN
--
OAK Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
IUIN
--
OAK Advantage
17-14-0 (54.8%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
IUIN
--
OAK
19-12-0
O: 61.3% / U: 38.7% Total +/-: +4.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OAK
IUIN
OAK
IUIN
ML
62% 20-12
69% 22-10
59% 19-13
78% 25-7
ATS
50% 16-16
66% 21-11
59% 19-13
78% 25-7
TTL
62% 20-12
50% 16-16
100% 32-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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