AI Model Win Probability
OWLS
0%
OWLS
100%
OWLS
--
OWLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
132.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
TEMPLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Temple)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around TEM -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TEM)
TEM By 1-7 points
23.0%
TEM By 8-14 points
27.2%
RICE By 1-7 points
10.7%
RICE By 8-14 points
3.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Temple
71
TEMPLE
Rice
61
RICE
Simulated Score
Temple
67
TEMPLE
Rice
79
RICE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Owls
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Owls
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Owls (-1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim
Owls (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u142.5
Win
Proj Total: 132.0
D
Sim
u142.5
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 1, 2026
RICE @ TEM
80 - 74
Jan 21, 2026
TEM @ RICE
69 - 65
Jan 11, 2025
TEM @ RICE
73 - 70
Feb 28, 2024
TEM @ RICE
65 - 43
Jan 20, 2024
RICE @ TEM
69 - 66
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+31.7% more
Temple: 5.2
vs
Rice: 3.6
Turnovers (L5)
+14.4% more
Temple: 12.2
vs
Rice: 10.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.8%
Temple: 76.2%
vs
Rice: 70.4%
Assists (L5)
+21.3% more
Rice: 12.4
vs
Temple: 10.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TEM Score
71.0
69
RICE Score
61.0
65
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.7 / 29.1
47.0 / 31.0
Assists
12.4 / 10.2
9.0 / 8.0
Blocks
3.6 / 5.2
6.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
44.4 / 39.3
46.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
70.4 / 76.2
71.0 / 82.0
Rebounding
35.5 / 37.7
33.0 / 33.0
Steals
6.9 / 6.8
4.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
10.5 / 12.2
11.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEM
Advantage
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 3.2
ATS +/-: +0.1
RICE
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-: -1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEM
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: 3.2
ATS +/-: +0.1
RICE
Advantage
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-: -1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
TEM
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: -1.1
RICE
17-12-0
O: 58.6% / U: 41.4%
Total +/-: +2.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RICE
TEM
RICE
TEM
ML
53%
16-14
62%
20-12
53%
16-14
67%
20-10
ATS
60%
18-12
56%
18-14
53%
16-14
67%
20-10
TTL
77%
23-7
69%
22-10
100%
30-0
100%
30-0