LAFAYETTE
LEOPARDSLAF
5-14 | Road
73
BOSTON UNIVERSITY
TERRIERSBU
7-12 | Home
77
AI Model Win Probability
LEOPARDS
100%
TERRIERS
0%
LEOPARDS
--
TERRIERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
166.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-78.0
BOSTON UNIVERSITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +78.0 points (Boston University)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BU -78.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BU)
LAF By 1-7 points
0.0%
LAF By 8-14 points
0.0%
BU By 1-7 points
0.0%
BU By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Lafayette
44
LAFAYETTE
Boston University
122
BOSTON UNIVERSITY
Simulated Score
Lafayette
65
LAFAYETTE
Boston University
72
BOSTON UNIVERSITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Terriers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Terriers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Terriers (-5.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -78.0
D
Sim
Terriers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o145.5
Win
Proj Total: 166.0
D
Sim
u145.5
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 21, 2026
LAF @ BU
73 - 77
Jan 7, 2026
BU @ LAF
83 - 67
Mar 1, 2025
LAF @ BU
64 - 66
Jan 2, 2025
BU @ LAF
46 - 60
Jan 27, 2024
BU @ LAF
62 - 48
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+42.0% more
Boston University: 12.3
vs
Lafayette: 8.6
Blocks (L5)
+26.7% more
Boston University: 3.4
vs
Lafayette: 2.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+15.0%
Boston University: 80.5%
vs
Lafayette: 65.5%
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.5%
Boston University: 47.1%
vs
Lafayette: 41.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAF Score
44.0
73
BU Score
122.0
77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.8 / 33.4
36.0 / 34.0
Assists
14.9 / 15.2
16.0 / 15.0
Blocks
3.4 / 2.7
7.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
47.1 / 41.6
51.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
80.5 / 65.5
63.0 / 78.0
Rebounding
34.2 / 35.5
37.0 / 36.0
Steals
3.6 / 4.8
3.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
12.3 / 8.6
14.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAF
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -5.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
BU
Advantage
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.5
ATS +/-: +0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAF
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -5.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
BU
Advantage
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: 1.5
ATS +/-: +0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
LAF
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9%
Total +/-: +1.0
BU
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8%
Total +/-: +8.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BU
LAF
BU
LAF
ML
68%
23-11
53%
17-15
62%
21-13
59%
19-13
ATS
62%
21-13
56%
18-14
62%
21-13
59%
19-13
TTL
65%
22-12
50%
16-16
100%
34-0
100%
32-0
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