Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Vikings @ Raiders CLE @ WRST

CLEVELAND STATE

VIKINGSCLE

6-14  |  Road

85
FINAL
Wed, Jan 21 • 7:00 PM ET
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WRIGHT STATE

RAIDERSWRST

12-7  |  Home

79
AI Model Win Probability
VIKINGS
100%
📊
RAIDERS
0%
VIKINGS --
RAIDERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
127.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-27.0
WRIGHT STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +27.0 points (Wright State)
VikingsCLE (-3.5) 0 RaidersWRST (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Vikings Cover

0.3%

Raiders Cover

99.7%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WRST -27.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WRST)

CLE By 1-7 points

0.3%

CLE By 8-14 points

0.0%

WRST By 1-7 points

2.2%

WRST By 8-14 points

8.0%

AI Model Projected Score
50
CLEVELAND STATE
77
WRIGHT STATE
Simulated Score
74
CLEVELAND STATE
78
WRIGHT STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Raiders Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Raiders Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Raiders (-15.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Sim Raiders (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u159.5 Loss
Proj Total: 127.0
D
Sim u159.5 Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 4, 2026 CLE @ WRST 61 - 90
Feb 15, 2026 WRST @ CLE 102 - 90
Jan 21, 2026 CLE @ WRST 85 - 79
Feb 27, 2025 CLE @ WRST 76 - 82
Dec 29, 2024 WRST @ CLE 64 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +53.4% more
Wright State: 4.9 vs Cleveland State: 3.2
Rebounding (L5) +25.1% more
Wright State: 36.1 vs Cleveland State: 28.9
Steals (L5) +19.7% more
Wright State: 6.7 vs Cleveland State: 5.6
Free Throw % (L5) +9.5%
Wright State: 85.9% vs Cleveland State: 76.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CLE Score 50.0 85
WRST Score 77.0 79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 48.4 / 40.4 21.0 / 48.0
Assists 14.2 / 14.8 13.0 / 16.0
Blocks 4.9 / 3.2 6.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 53.4 / 47.6 47.0 / 51.0
Free Throw % 85.9 / 76.3 67.0 / 91.0
Rebounding 36.1 / 28.9 35.0 / 32.0
Steals 6.7 / 5.6 3.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 11.8 / 12.9 7.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
29%MONEY71%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
24%MONEY76%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
21%MONEY79%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
11-22-0 (33.3%)
Margin: -6.2 ATS +/-: -0.3
WRST Advantage
23-12-0 (65.7%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
12-18-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -6.2 ATS +/-: -0.3
WRST Advantage
20-13-0 (60.6%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
20-10-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3% Total +/-: +6.3
WRST
16-17-0
O: 48.5% / U: 51.5% Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WRST
CLE
WRST
CLE
ML
37% 13-22
52% 17-16
63% 22-13
64% 21-12
ATS
46% 16-19
64% 21-12
63% 22-13
64% 21-12
TTL
63% 22-13
52% 17-16
100% 35-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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