Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Lions @ Redhawks LMU @ SEA

LOYOLA MARYMOUNT

LIONSLMU

11-10  |  Road

59
FINAL
Wed, Jan 21 • 10:00 PM ET
Redhawk Center
View Odds Details →

SEATTLE U

REDHAWKSSEA

13-7  |  Home

69
AI Model Win Probability
LIONS
0%
📊
REDHAWKS
100%
LIONS --
REDHAWKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
120.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
LOYOLA MARYMOUNT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Loyola Marymount)
LionsLMU (-3.5) 0 RedhawksSEA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Lions Cover

84.1%

Redhawks Cover

15.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LMU -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LMU)

LMU By 1-7 points

23.0%

LMU By 8-14 points

27.2%

SEA By 1-7 points

10.7%

SEA By 8-14 points

3.3%

AI Model Projected Score
65
LOYOLA MARYMOUNT
55
SEATTLE U
Simulated Score
72
LOYOLA MARYMOUNT
78
SEATTLE U
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Lions Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Redhawks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Lions (-4.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim Redhawks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u140.5 Win
Proj Total: 120.0
D
Sim u140.5 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 28, 2026 SEA @ LMU 71 - 66
Jan 21, 2026 LMU @ SEA 59 - 69
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +12.4%
Loyola Marymount: 78.5% vs Seattle U: 66.0%
Rebounding (L5) +12.4% more
Loyola Marymount: 34.4 vs Seattle U: 30.2
Steals (L5) +90.8% more
Seattle U: 7.5 vs Loyola Marymount: 3.9
Assists (L5) +19.3% more
Seattle U: 13.2 vs Loyola Marymount: 11.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LMU Score 65.0 59
SEA Score 55.0 69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.7 / 30.6 25.0 / 33.0
Assists 13.2 / 11.1 10.0 / 14.0
Blocks 4.2 / 3.6 1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 39.4 / 37.9 41.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 66.0 / 78.5 82.0 / 63.0
Rebounding 30.2 / 34.4 31.0 / 34.0
Steals 7.5 / 3.9 12.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 13.6 / 13.6 7.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
9%TICKETS91%
8%MONEY92%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
25%TICKETS75%
23%MONEY77%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
47%MONEY53%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LMU
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 2.2 ATS +/-: -1.4
SEA Advantage
21-14-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LMU
14-17-0 (45.2%)
Margin: 2.2 ATS +/-: -1.4
SEA Advantage
15-17-1 (46.9%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
LMU
15-16-0
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6% Total +/-: -0.9
SEA
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6% Total +/-: -4.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
LMU
SEA
LMU
ML
46% 16-19
53% 17-15
71% 24-10
50% 16-16
ATS
57% 20-15
47% 15-17
71% 24-10
50% 16-16
TTL
49% 17-18
62% 20-12
100% 34-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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