Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Cougars @ Toreros WSU @ USD

WASHINGTON STATE

COUGARSWSU

8-12  |  Road

92
FINAL
Wed, Jan 21 • 9:30 PM ET
Jenny Craig Pavilion
View Odds Details →

SAN DIEGO

TOREROSUSD

8-12  |  Home

96
AI Model Win Probability
COUGARS
100%
📊
TOREROS
0%
COUGARS --
TOREROS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
99.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
SAN DIEGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (San Diego)
CougarsWSU (-3.5) 0 TorerosUSD (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cougars Cover

18.4%

Toreros Cover

81.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around USD -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (USD)

WSU By 1-7 points

12.2%

WSU By 8-14 points

4.0%

USD By 1-7 points

24.3%

USD By 8-14 points

26.8%

AI Model Projected Score
45
WASHINGTON STATE
54
SAN DIEGO
Simulated Score
65
WASHINGTON STATE
78
SAN DIEGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Toreros Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Toreros Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Toreros (+1.5) Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim Toreros (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u152.5 Loss
Proj Total: 99.0
D
Sim u152.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 21, 2026 WSU @ USD 92 - 96
Feb 27, 2025 USD @ WSU 86 - 93
Jan 16, 2025 WSU @ USD 65 - 61
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +119.3% more
San Diego: 3.1 vs Washington State: 1.4
Assists (L5) +49.3% more
San Diego: 19.7 vs Washington State: 13.2
Steals (L5) +46.4% more
San Diego: 8.2 vs Washington State: 5.6
Rebounding (L5) +25.3% more
San Diego: 37.5 vs Washington State: 29.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WSU Score 45.0 92
USD Score 54.0 96
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.6 / 41.2 54.0 / 35.0
Assists 19.7 / 13.2 25.0 / 16.0
Blocks 3.1 / 1.4 4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 47.8 / 49.7 52.0 / 48.0
Free Throw % 81.1 / 66.1 54.0 / 84.0
Rebounding 37.5 / 29.9 36.0 / 34.0
Steals 8.2 / 5.6 6.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 14.9 / 13.1 6.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
73%MONEY27%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
60%MONEY40%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
65%MONEY35%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSU Advantage
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -1.4 ATS +/-: -0.5
USD
12-21-0 (36.4%)
Margin: -3.4 ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSU
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: -1.4 ATS +/-: -0.5
USD Advantage
16-15-0 (51.6%)
Margin: -3.4 ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
WSU
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +2.0
USD
12-17-2
O: 41.4% / U: 58.6% Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
USD
WSU
USD
WSU
ML
58% 19-14
78% 25-7
70% 23-10
69% 20-9
ATS
55% 18-15
78% 25-7
70% 23-10
69% 20-9
TTL
61% 20-13
62% 20-12
100% 33-0
100% 29-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
K-State vs Houston: Week 6 Showdown with Big 12 Title Implicatio…
si 8 hours, 5 minutes ago
Houston Cougars Set for Road Test Against Kansas State in Big 12…
si 1 day, 7 hours ago
Houston Cougars Erase 17-Point Deficit to Stun UCF in Space Game
si 5 days, 1 hour ago
SDSU's Nick Anderson Making Speedy Recovery from ACL Surgery, Ey…
headtopics 6 days, 20 hours ago
Houston Cougars Set for Nationally Televised Road Battle at Kans…
headtopics 1 week ago