NEW YORK

ISLANDERSNYI

27-17-5  |  Road

1
FINAL
Wed, Jan 21 • 9:30 PM ET
Climate Pledge Arena
View Odds Details →

SEATTLE

KRAKENSEA

21-18-9  |  Home

4
Goaltending
Ilya Sorokin
GOALTENDER

Ilya Sorokin

#30 | Goaltender
@
Philipp Grubauer
GOALTENDER

Philipp Grubauer

#31 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Ilya Sorokin None-None 3.09 0.875 --
Philipp Grubauer None-None 1.01 0.960 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
3.09 GAA Ldr 1.01
0.875 Save % Ldr 0.960
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
ISLANDERS
0%
📊
KRAKEN
100%
ISLANDERS --
KRAKEN --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (New York)
IslandersNYI (-3.5) 0 KrakenSEA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Islanders Cover

84.1%

Kraken Cover

15.9%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around NYI -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYI)

NYI By 1 goal

17.5%

NYI By 2-3 goals

37.2%

SEA By 1 goal

6.6%

SEA By 2-3 goals

3.7%

AI Model Projected Score
4
NEW YORK
2
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
2
NEW YORK
3
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Islanders Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Kraken Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Islanders (+1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim Kraken (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o5.5 Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 21, 2026 NYI @ SEA 1 - 4
Nov 23, 2025 SEA @ NYI 0 - 1
Dec 5, 2024 SEA @ NYI 5 - 2
Nov 16, 2024 NYI @ SEA 2 - 3
Feb 13, 2024 SEA @ NYI 2 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +18.5% more
New York: 28.2 vs Seattle: 23.0
Faceoff % (L5) +5.3%
New York: 52.1% vs Seattle: 46.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NYI Score 4.0 1
SEA Score 2.0 4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 16.3 / 15.6 18.0 / 6.0
Faceoff % 46.8 / 52.1 54.9 / 45.1
Hits 18.5 / 18.2 15.0 / 7.0
Power Play % 26.6 / 26.5 25.0 / 14.3
Shots on Goal 23.0 / 28.2 25.0 / 25.0
Takeaways 4.4 / 4.5 5.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
60%MONEY40%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
30%TICKETS70%
40%MONEY60%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
61%MONEY39%