MINNESOTA
TIMBERWOLVESMIN
27-16 | Road
122
UTAH
JAZZUTAH
14-29 | Home
127
AI Model Win Probability
TIMBERWOLVES
0%
JAZZ
100%
TIMBERWOLVES
--
JAZZ
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
248.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+2.0
UTAH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UTAH +2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTAH)
MIN By 1-7 points
26.8%
MIN By 8-14 points
18.6%
UTAH By 1-7 points
23.0%
UTAH By 8-14 points
12.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
125
MINNESOTA
Utah
123
UTAH
Simulated Score
Minnesota
110
MINNESOTA
Utah
115
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Timberwolves
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jazz
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Jazz (+13)
Win
Proj Spread: +2.0
D
Sim
Jazz (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o239.5
Win
Proj Total: 248.0
D
Sim
u239.5
Win
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 18, 2026
UTAH @ MIN
111 - 147
Jan 20, 2026
MIN @ UTAH
122 - 127
Nov 10, 2025
MIN @ UTAH
120 - 113
Nov 7, 2025
UTAH @ MIN
97 - 137
Apr 13, 2025
UTAH @ MIN
105 - 116
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+59.4% more
Minnesota: 6.0
vs
Utah: 2.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+8.6%
Minnesota: 41.2%
vs
Utah: 32.6%
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.4%
Minnesota: 49.6%
vs
Utah: 47.2%
Assists (L5)
+19.7% more
Utah: 30.7
vs
Minnesota: 25.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
125.0
122
UTAH Score
123.0
127
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.6 / 41.2
41.0 / 30.0
Assists
30.7 / 25.6
31.0 / 28.0
Blocks
2.4 / 6.0
4.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
47.2 / 49.6
55.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
79.8 / 70.9
73.0 / 74.0
Rebounding
41.1 / 44.3
45.0 / 46.0
Steals
8.2 / 7.8
8.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
15.0 / 13.4
17.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN
Advantage
55-39-0
(58.5%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
UTAH
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
42-52-0
(44.7%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
UTAH
Advantage
41-41-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
43-51-0
O: 45.7% / U: 54.3%
Total +/-: +0.8
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2%
Total +/-: +5.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTAH
MIN
UTAH
MIN
ML
60%
96-63
54%
63-53
48%
40-43
54%
50-43
ATS
68%
108-51
58%
67-49
48%
40-43
54%
50-43
TTL
75%
119-39-1
63%
72-43-1
100%
83-0
100%
93-0
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