RUTGERS
SCARLET KNIGHTSRUTG
9-9 | Road
62
IOWA
HAWKEYESIOWA
13-5 | Home
68
AI Model Win Probability
SCARLET KNIGHTS
100%
HAWKEYES
0%
SCARLET KNIGHTS
--
HAWKEYES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
IOWA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Iowa)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around IOWA -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IOWA)
RUTG By 1-7 points
21.6%
RUTG By 8-14 points
10.7%
IOWA By 1-7 points
27.2%
IOWA By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Rutgers
72
RUTGERS
Iowa
75
IOWA
Simulated Score
Rutgers
65
RUTGERS
Iowa
70
IOWA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hawkeyes
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hawkeyes
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hawkeyes (+17.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Hawkeyes (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o140.5
Loss
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim
u140.5
Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 20, 2026
RUTG @ IOWA
62 - 68
Feb 12, 2025
IOWA @ RUTG
84 - 73
Jan 6, 2024
RUTG @ IOWA
77 - 86
Jan 29, 2023
RUTG @ IOWA
82 - 93
Jan 8, 2023
IOWA @ RUTG
76 - 65
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+17.9% more
Iowa: 15.3
vs
Rutgers: 13.0
Turnovers (L5)
+17.5% more
Iowa: 10.2
vs
Rutgers: 8.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+11.0%
Iowa: 81.9%
vs
Rutgers: 70.9%
Field Goal % (L5)
+6.5%
Iowa: 48.9%
vs
Rutgers: 42.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
RUTG Score
72.0
62
IOWA Score
75.0
68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.2 / 33.1
37.0 / 28.0
Assists
15.3 / 13.0
12.0 / 9.0
Blocks
2.9 / 3.6
4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
48.9 / 42.4
47.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
81.9 / 70.9
81.0 / 79.0
Rebounding
29.2 / 36.3
24.0 / 31.0
Steals
4.7 / 5.7
9.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
10.2 / 8.7
12.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RUTG
14-20-0
(41.2%)
Margin: -4.8
ATS +/-: -0.3
IOWA
Advantage
24-13-0
(64.9%)
Margin: 8.3
ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RUTG
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -4.8
ATS +/-: -0.3
IOWA
Advantage
21-16-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 8.3
ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
RUTG
20-14-0
O: 58.8% / U: 41.2%
Total +/-: +2.6
IOWA
20-17-0
O: 54.1% / U: 46.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IOWA
RUTG
IOWA
RUTG
ML
59%
22-15
53%
18-16
78%
28-8
70%
23-10
ATS
76%
28-9
68%
23-11
78%
28-8
70%
23-10
TTL
57%
21-16
53%
18-16
100%
36-0
100%
33-0
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