Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Billikens @ Dukes SLU @ DUQ

SAINT LOUIS

BILLIKENSSLU

17-1  |  Road

81
FINAL
Tue, Jan 20 • 7:00 PM ET
UPMC Cooper Fieldhouse
View Odds Details →

DUQUESNE

DUKESDUQ

10-8  |  Home

77
AI Model Win Probability
BILLIKENS
0%
📊
DUKES
100%
BILLIKENS --
DUKES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
155.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
SAINT LOUIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (Saint Louis)
BillikensSLU (-3.5) 0 DukesDUQ (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Billikens Cover

95.5%

Dukes Cover

4.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SLU -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SLU)

SLU By 1-7 points

12.2%

SLU By 8-14 points

23.0%

DUQ By 1-7 points

3.3%

DUQ By 8-14 points

0.6%

AI Model Projected Score
86
SAINT LOUIS
69
DUQUESNE
Simulated Score
65
SAINT LOUIS
68
DUQUESNE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Billikens Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Dukes Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Billikens (+9.5) Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim Dukes (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u164.5 Win
Proj Total: 155.0
D
Sim u164.5 Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 28, 2026 DUQ @ SLU 76 - 91
Jan 20, 2026 SLU @ DUQ 81 - 77
Mar 8, 2025 DUQ @ SLU 88 - 90
Mar 13, 2024 SLU @ DUQ 73 - 83
Feb 20, 2024 SLU @ DUQ 66 - 81
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +11.5% more
Saint Louis: 40.6 vs Duquesne: 35.9
Assists (L5) +10.2% more
Saint Louis: 18.9 vs Duquesne: 17.0
Field Goal % (L5) +5.7%
Saint Louis: 51.3% vs Duquesne: 45.6%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +3.0%
Saint Louis: 38.4% vs Duquesne: 35.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SLU Score 86.0 81
DUQ Score 69.0 77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.4 / 38.4 27.0 / 45.0
Assists 17.0 / 18.9 13.0 / 19.0
Blocks 3.1 / 3.1 4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 45.6 / 51.3 35.0 / 49.0
Free Throw % 72.7 / 73.2 74.0 / 64.0
Rebounding 35.9 / 40.6 42.0 / 38.0
Steals 7.7 / 6.0 12.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 12.8 / 9.4 14.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
97%TICKETS3%
74%MONEY26%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
73%TICKETS27%
68%MONEY32%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
38%MONEY62%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SLU Advantage
29-6-0 (82.9%)
Margin: 16.8 ATS +/-: +2.4
DUQ
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 3.1 ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SLU Advantage
19-13-2 (59.4%)
Margin: 16.8 ATS +/-: +2.4
DUQ
14-16-1 (46.7%)
Margin: 3.1 ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
SLU
18-16-0
O: 52.9% / U: 47.1% Total +/-: -0.3
DUQ
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DUQ
SLU
DUQ
SLU
ML
53% 17-15
70% 23-10
58% 18-13
68% 21-10
ATS
69% 22-10
73% 24-9
58% 18-13
68% 21-10
TTL
50% 16-16
61% 20-13
100% 31-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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