KANSAS
JAYHAWKSKU
13-5 | Road
75
COLORADO
BUFFALOESCOLO
12-6 | Home
69
AI Model Win Probability
JAYHAWKS
0%
BUFFALOES
100%
JAYHAWKS
--
BUFFALOES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
178.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
KANSAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Kansas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around KU -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (KU)
KU By 1-7 points
20.1%
KU By 8-14 points
27.2%
COLO By 1-7 points
8.0%
COLO By 8-14 points
2.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Kansas
95
KANSAS
Colorado
83
COLORADO
Simulated Score
Kansas
67
KANSAS
Colorado
78
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Jayhawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Buffaloes
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Jayhawks (+3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim
Buffaloes (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o155.5
Loss
Proj Total: 178.0
D
Sim
u155.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 20, 2026
KU @ COLO
75 - 69
Feb 24, 2025
KU @ COLO
71 - 64
Feb 11, 2025
COLO @ KU
59 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+52.8% more
Kansas: 6.9
vs
Colorado: 3.3
Steals (L5)
+24.3% more
Kansas: 7.5
vs
Colorado: 5.6
Rebounding (L5)
+15.3% more
Kansas: 37.1
vs
Colorado: 31.4
Assists (L5)
+9.8% more
Kansas: 14.9
vs
Colorado: 13.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
KU Score
95.0
75
COLO Score
83.0
69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.5 / 36.8
29.0 / 42.0
Assists
13.5 / 14.9
14.0 / 14.0
Blocks
3.3 / 6.9
1.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
42.8 / 49.1
36.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
78.1 / 81.8
63.0 / 79.0
Rebounding
31.4 / 37.1
33.0 / 45.0
Steals
5.6 / 7.5
8.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
10.2 / 7.8
3.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KU
Advantage
24-11-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 6.1
ATS +/-: +1.3
COLO
17-16-0
(51.5%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KU
Advantage
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 6.1
ATS +/-: +1.3
COLO
17-16-0
(51.5%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
KU
11-24-0
O: 31.4% / U: 68.6%
Total +/-: -4.1
COLO
17-16-0
O: 51.5% / U: 48.5%
Total +/-: +4.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COLO
KU
COLO
KU
ML
61%
20-13
57%
20-15
69%
22-10
68%
21-10
ATS
73%
24-9
49%
17-18
69%
22-10
68%
21-10
TTL
45%
15-18
60%
21-14
100%
32-0
100%
31-0
Contextual Game News
K-State vs Houston: Week 6 Showdown with Big 12 Title Implicatio…
Houston Cougars Set for Road Test Against Kansas State in Big 12…
Kansas Shakes Up Offensive Line: Amir Herring Promoted to Starti…
Kansas Basketball Secures Melvin Council Jr. for Unprecedented S…
Melvin Council Jr. Wins Eligibility Appeal, Returns to Kansas fo…