PRINCETON
TIGERSPRIN
6-12 | Road
69
DARTMOUTH
BIG GREENDART
8-8 | Home
71
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
100%
BIG GREEN
0%
TIGERS
--
BIG GREEN
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
110.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-34.0
DARTMOUTH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +34.0 points (Dartmouth)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DART -34.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DART)
PRIN By 1-7 points
0.0%
PRIN By 8-14 points
0.0%
DART By 1-7 points
0.4%
DART By 8-14 points
2.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Princeton
38
PRINCETON
Dartmouth
72
DARTMOUTH
Simulated Score
Princeton
61
PRINCETON
Dartmouth
74
DARTMOUTH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Big Green
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Big Green
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Big Green (-1)
Win
Proj Spread: -34.0
D
Sim
Big Green (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u148.0
Win
Proj Total: 110.0
D
Sim
u148.0
Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 28, 2026
DART @ PRIN
61 - 82
Jan 19, 2026
PRIN @ DART
69 - 71
Feb 22, 2025
DART @ PRIN
76 - 61
Jan 18, 2025
PRIN @ DART
81 - 80
Feb 24, 2024
PRIN @ DART
68 - 56
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+137.6% more
Dartmouth: 5.4
vs
Princeton: 2.3
Assists (L5)
+24.3% more
Dartmouth: 14.2
vs
Princeton: 11.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.1%
Dartmouth: 37.9%
vs
Princeton: 34.9%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.0%
Dartmouth: 47.2%
vs
Princeton: 44.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PRIN Score
38.0
69
DART Score
72.0
71
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.9 / 34.9
36.0 / 36.0
Assists
14.2 / 11.4
11.0 / 15.0
Blocks
5.4 / 2.3
0.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
47.2 / 44.2
43.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
68.1 / 78.4
80.0 / 100.0
Rebounding
37.1 / 35.5
38.0 / 27.0
Steals
5.4 / 5.2
0.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
10.1 / 9.9
8.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PRIN
9-20-0
(31.0%)
Margin: -3.4
ATS +/-: -0.7
DART
Advantage
11-16-0
(40.7%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PRIN
Advantage
16-12-0
(57.1%)
Margin: -3.4
ATS +/-: -0.7
DART
11-14-0
(44.0%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
PRIN
13-15-0
O: 46.4% / U: 53.6%
Total +/-: -2.4
DART
12-13-0
O: 48.0% / U: 52.0%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DART
PRIN
DART
PRIN
ML
62%
16-10
45%
13-16
50%
13-13
62%
18-11
ATS
65%
17-9
48%
14-15
50%
13-13
62%
18-11
TTL
88%
23-3
72%
21-8
100%
26-0
100%
29-0
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