WAGNER
SEAHAWKSWAG
6-10 | Road
61
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
KNIGHTSFDU
5-13 | Home
68
AI Model Win Probability
SEAHAWKS
100%
KNIGHTS
0%
SEAHAWKS
--
KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
159.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-55.0
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +55.0 points (Fairleigh Dickinson)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around FDU -55.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FDU)
WAG By 1-7 points
0.0%
WAG By 8-14 points
0.0%
FDU By 1-7 points
0.0%
FDU By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Wagner
52
WAGNER
Fairleigh Dickinson
107
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
Simulated Score
Wagner
64
WAGNER
Fairleigh Dickinson
67
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Knights
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Knights
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Knights (-2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -55.0
D
Sim
Knights (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o140.5
Loss
Proj Total: 159.0
D
Sim
u140.5
Win
Proj Total: 131.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 31, 2026
FDU @ WAG
72 - 75
Jan 19, 2026
WAG @ FDU
61 - 68
Feb 8, 2025
WAG @ FDU
58 - 69
Jan 5, 2025
FDU @ WAG
71 - 59
Mar 2, 2024
FDU @ WAG
57 - 54
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+63.3% more
Fairleigh Dickinson: 6.5
vs
Wagner: 4.0
Blocks (L5)
+39.9% more
Wagner: 1.8
vs
Fairleigh Dickinson: 1.1
Assists (L5)
+36.8% more
Wagner: 14.7
vs
Fairleigh Dickinson: 9.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+15.6%
Wagner: 40.6%
vs
Fairleigh Dickinson: 25.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WAG Score
52.0
61
FDU Score
107.0
68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
25.1 / 40.6
41.0 / 36.0
Assists
9.3 / 14.7
6.0 / 4.0
Blocks
1.1 / 1.8
1.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
37.2 / 46.9
48.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
67.7 / 70.1
76.0 / 88.0
Rebounding
33.7 / 36.3
33.0 / 22.0
Steals
6.5 / 4.0
4.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
11.5 / 13.5
14.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WAG
Advantage
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-: +2.1
FDU
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -3.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WAG
Advantage
16-12-0
(57.1%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-: +2.1
FDU
10-18-1
(35.7%)
Margin: -3.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
WAG
15-13-0
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4%
Total +/-: +4.4
FDU
9-20-0
O: 31.0% / U: 69.0%
Total +/-: -2.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FDU
WAG
FDU
WAG
ML
65%
20-11
63%
19-11
74%
23-8
57%
17-13
ATS
68%
21-10
60%
18-12
74%
23-8
57%
17-13
TTL
58%
18-13
53%
16-14
100%
31-0
100%
30-0
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