AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
0%
BRAVES
100%
PANTHERS
--
BRAVES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
170.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-44.0
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +44.0 points (Prairie View A&M)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PV -44.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PV)
PV By 1-7 points
0.0%
PV By 8-14 points
0.1%
ALCN By 1-7 points
0.0%
ALCN By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Prairie View A&M
107
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
Alcorn State
63
ALCORN STATE
Simulated Score
Prairie View A&M
67
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
Alcorn State
70
ALCORN STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Panthers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Braves
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Panthers (+2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -44.0
D
Sim
Braves (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o152.5
Loss
Proj Total: 170.0
D
Sim
u152.5
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 10, 2026
ALCN @ PV
56 - 65
Feb 28, 2026
ALCN @ PV
51 - 72
Jan 19, 2026
PV @ ALCN
75 - 76
Mar 1, 2025
PV @ ALCN
55 - 71
Jan 20, 2025
ALCN @ PV
78 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+26.7% more
Prairie View A&M: 8.0
vs
Alcorn State: 5.9
Blocks (L5)
+15.6% more
Prairie View A&M: 4.2
vs
Alcorn State: 3.6
Rebounding (L5)
+10.5% more
Prairie View A&M: 34.5
vs
Alcorn State: 30.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.2%
Prairie View A&M: 34.8%
vs
Alcorn State: 31.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PV Score
107.0
75
ALCN Score
63.0
76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.6 / 34.8
23.0 / 37.0
Assists
12.1 / 13.0
19.0 / 15.0
Blocks
3.6 / 4.2
2.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
40.1 / 42.5
41.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
78.1 / 70.9
81.0 / 84.0
Rebounding
30.9 / 34.5
46.0 / 26.0
Steals
5.9 / 8.0
4.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
12.2 / 11.0
13.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PV
Advantage
19-18-0
(51.3%)
Margin: 1.4
ATS +/-: +2.7
ALCN
9-23-0
(28.1%)
Margin: -13.3
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PV
Advantage
22-10-0
(68.8%)
Margin: 1.4
ATS +/-: +2.7
ALCN
17-14-1
(54.8%)
Margin: -13.3
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
PV
12-20-0
O: 37.5% / U: 62.5%
Total +/-: -2.1
ALCN
15-16-1
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6%
Total +/-: -0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ALCN
PV
ALCN
PV
ML
66%
21-11
59%
20-14
75%
18-6
68%
21-10
ATS
68%
21-10-1
56%
19-15
75%
18-6
68%
21-10
TTL
47%
15-17
50%
17-17
100%
24-0
100%
31-0