AI Model Win Probability
SHARKS
0%
DOLPHINS
100%
SHARKS
--
DOLPHINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
145.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-31.0
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +31.0 points (Long Island University)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LIU -31.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LIU)
LIU By 1-7 points
0.8%
LIU By 8-14 points
4.0%
LEM By 1-7 points
0.1%
LEM By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Long Island University
88
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
Le Moyne
57
LE MOYNE
Simulated Score
Long Island University
68
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
Le Moyne
72
LE MOYNE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Sharks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Dolphins
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Sharks (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -31.0
D
Sim
Dolphins (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u149.5
Loss
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Sim
u149.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 29, 2026
LEM @ LIU
61 - 83
Jan 19, 2026
LIU @ LEM
77 - 83
Feb 22, 2025
LIU @ LEM
76 - 61
Jan 3, 2025
LEM @ LIU
62 - 78
Feb 22, 2024
LEM @ LIU
64 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+36.4% more
Long Island University: 5.0
vs
Le Moyne: 3.2
Steals (L5)
+23.6% more
Long Island University: 7.2
vs
Le Moyne: 5.5
Turnovers (L5)
+13.5% more
Long Island University: 14.5
vs
Le Moyne: 12.6
Rebounding (L5)
+12.1% more
Long Island University: 40.6
vs
Le Moyne: 35.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LIU Score
88.0
77
LEM Score
57.0
83
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
27.0 / 28.7
56.0 / 39.0
Assists
13.3 / 14.3
12.0 / 8.0
Blocks
3.2 / 5.0
3.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
43.8 / 47.0
60.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
73.2 / 59.7
71.0 / 50.0
Rebounding
35.7 / 40.6
27.0 / 39.0
Steals
5.5 / 7.2
3.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
12.6 / 14.5
14.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LIU
--
LEM
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-: +0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LIU
--
LEM
Advantage
16-15-0
(51.6%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-: +0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
LIU
--
LEM
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: +1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LEM
LIU
LEM
LIU
ML
68%
21-10
60%
21-14
68%
21-10
69%
24-11
ATS
65%
20-11
63%
22-13
69%
22-10
69%
24-11
TTL
42%
13-18
60%
21-14
100%
32-0
100%
35-0